Memphis vs Oklahoma Prediction 10 January 2026
🔊 Can the reigning champions secure a convincing victory? In this NBA regular season matchup, Memphis will face off against Oklahoma. The hosts continue to perform in an unpredictable manner, especially with several key players absent. Meanwhile, the visitors need to get back to their usual winning ways. The Thunder will do everything possible to achieve that.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder:
- They have faced off in 58 games;
- Victories (including overtime): 20 for today's home team and 38 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 103.74 points per game, while the visitors average 108.07;
- The average total score of their matches is 211.81.
The last encounter took place on 23 December 2025 at the Oklahoma City Thunder's court and ended with a score of 119-103.
Head-to-head statistics Memphis - Oklahoma
Memphis Grizzlies Team Overview
The home team continues to struggle with frequent losses. Recently, they suffered a setback against Phoenix (98-117). Yes, there are occasional impressive bursts-like the narrow win over San Antonio with a score of 106-105. However, the overall trend is far from favorable. Especially considering Morant picked up another injury. Without him, their offense lacks solidity, averaging just 115.2 points, which ranks 19th in the league.
It's tough to envision a scenario where they can mount serious resistance against Oklahoma. There's a significant shortage of quality playmakers in their attack. While ball movement is relatively decent, facing the aggressive defense of the champions makes it incredibly difficult to create good opportunities. Defensively, there are numerous issues as well-they concede an average of 116.6 points.
Match Results: Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview
Oklahoma's performances are hard to label as truly top-tier. They've been through a rough patch, but the team is gradually emerging from it with dignity. For instance, they recently edged out Utah with a 129-125 victory. Moreover, they showed resilience, clinching the win in overtime. Statistically, the team remains among the league leaders, boasting an impressive offense (121.4) and solid defense (108.1).
The main challenge for the team is the absence of several key players. Notably, they've lost Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who was their leading scorer and standout player last season. Despite this, the visitors don't face any critical systemic issues. The team needs to play smartly, which should allow them to tactically outmaneuver the Grizzlies.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 58;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 11;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 52.93;
- Today's home team averages 26.36, while the visitors average 26.57.
First Quarter Stats: Memphis Grizzlies (home) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 8 (38.1%) vs 11 (52.38%);
- Number of losses: 13 (61.9%) vs 9 (42.86%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (4.76%).
- Average points scored: 28.81 vs 30.95;
- Average points conceded: 29.86 vs 27.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 60.3 (scored - 29.6, conceded - 30.7) vs 62 (scored - 32.5, conceded - 29.5).
- Memphis Grizzlies scored over 25.5 points in the 1st quarter in 10 of last 11 home games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 58;
- Home team wins - 20, away team wins - 38.
- Memphis Grizzlies have lost in last 15 games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
- Memphis Grizzlies have lost in last 6 home games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 103.74, for the away team - 108.07;
- average total points in H2H matches - 211.81.
Statistics: Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- average total in the tournament: 233.52 vs 228.05;
- average total points scored: 115.5 vs 119.82;
- average total points conceded: 118.02 vs 108.23;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 57.45 vs 60.43;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 57.6 vs 57.93;
- Memphis Grizzlies: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 116.05;
- Oklahoma City Thunder: average total points scored away in the tournament - 119.1;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 117.4 (home - 117.4) vs 118.6 (away - 115.33).
- Oklahoma City Thunder have scored over 114.5 points in 13 of last 15 games against Memphis Grizzlies (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Surprisingly, bookmakers don't see a clear favorite here. The reigning champions are dealing with a significant number of injuries, which impacts their odds. However, the Thunder are known for their defensive prowess. With some key players absent, their defense might become even more formidable. Each player will be fighting for their spot and putting in the effort. Memphis, relying heavily on Jackson alone, is unlikely to produce an effective offense. Our editorial team anticipates that the visitors will secure a noticeable advantage. Therefore, it's worth considering Oklahoma's spread (-2.5).No comments
Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder
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