Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction 5 November 2026
🏀 The Houston Rockets face the Minnesota Timberwolves in an NBA regular-season game. The visitors remain without their biggest star, and their results have suffered. The hosts, meanwhile, are finding their form and improving offensively. Expect that progress to show in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 The teams last met on April 11, when the Minnesota Timberwolves won 136-132. The Timberwolves have a slight edge in their last five head-to-head meetings, with three wins to the Houston Rockets’ two.
Head-to-head statistics Rockets - Timberwolves
Houston Rockets: The hosts have hit their stride
The hosts have won four of their last five games, including recent victories over Boston (109-93) and Oklahoma (119-98). They have been remarkably efficient regardless of the pace. Against the Thunder, for example, they hit nearly 44% of their three-pointers. At home, they could get close to that mark again: they are shooting 39.1% from beyond the arc this season. The Rockets are also averaging 120.7 points per game despite playing at one of the slowest paces in the league.
The hosts are likely to have an edge inside, too. Alperen Şengün is one of the few players in the league who can cause Rudy Gobert serious problems. The Rockets also move the ball exceptionally well, ranking fourth in the league in assists (28.1 per game). With no major roster concerns, they should be able to stick to their usual approach and continue building momentum.
Match Results: Houston Rockets
Minnesota Timberwolves: The absence of their star is starting to show
Minnesota Timberwolves are unlikely to be at their best right now. Anthony Edwards is injured, and the Timberwolves have only been dispatching teams with little to play for this season with any ease. They beat the Clippers 127-101 and the Lakers 112-100, but have struggled against stronger opposition, losing 121-111 to San Antonio, for example. The visitors’ overall numbers remain strong, but the picture is gradually shifting against Finch’s side, even with an otherwise solid roster.
Their offence has become noticeably disjointed. The Timberwolves are averaging 27 assists per game this season, but managed only 23 against San Antonio. Their three-point shooting has also been inconsistent, making their season-long numbers somewhat misleading. The visitors may be able to keep it competitive for stretches, but they are unlikely to contain Houston Rockets through defence alone. It will be a tough road game.
Match Results: Minnesota Timberwolves
Match outcome prediction
Houston Rockets have covered the -3.5 spread in eight of their last nine NBA games and the -9.5 spread in five straight home games. We’re backing Houston Rockets -3.5 at odds of 1.39*.
Total Points Prediction
Houston Rockets games have gone over 216.5 points in seven of their last eight outings, while six of Minnesota Timberwolves’ last seven road games have produced more than 225.5 points. Seven of Houston Rockets’ last eight home games have also stayed under 230.5 points, which is consistent with the lower line we’re backing. Our pick is over 216.5 total points at odds of 1.55*.
Solid Bet
Houston Rockets have scored more than 108.5 points in 11 straight NBA games. Minnesota Timberwolves have conceded an average of 116 points in their recent away games. We’re backing Houston Rockets to score over 108.5 points at odds of 1.37*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Bookmakers have the home side as favourites, and with Houston Rockets in excellent form and playing at home, it is easy to see why. Minnesota Timberwolves have looked disjointed, particularly on offence, where they have yet to find a cohesive approach. Those struggles could also put their defence under pressure. They defend well in some areas, but there are still enough weaknesses for top opponents to exploit. We expect Houston Rockets to put on another strong offensive display for their home crowd. Our pick is Houston Rockets to score over 113 points.
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Betting Tips: Houston Rockets - Minnesota Timberwolves
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