Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction 5 November 2026
🏀 The San Antonio Spurs host the Dallas Mavericks in an NBA regular-season matchup. Wembanyama and his teammates face a familiar rival on a five-game winning streak that has sent them climbing the Western Conference standings. San Antonio beat Dallas on the road earlier in October. Now the Spurs will look to repeat that result at home, while the Mavericks seek revenge despite significant injury concerns.
Head-to-Head
📊 San Antonio Spurs have won their last five head-to-head meetings with Dallas Mavericks. Their most recent victory came this season, on October 25, when the Spurs won 122-106 on the road.
Head-to-head statistics Spurs - Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs: Closing In on Their Peak Form
The San Antonio Spurs head into the Texas derby on a five-game winning streak, currently the longest in the Western Conference. San Antonio swept aside Utah 119-97. Harper scored 17 points, while Wembanyama added 12 points, 11 rebounds and three blocks. Johnson’s men shot 60% from the field, controlled the boards 52-36 and dominated in transition, outscoring Utah 26-9 on fast breaks. They also held an opponent under 100 points for the first time this season.
Fox and Harper give the Spurs two different ways to run their offence. Against Minnesota, for example, Harper was one of their leading scorers while Fox kept the attack ticking. That versatility should matter against the Dallas Mavericks, who are without the injured Irving and are short-handed in the frontcourt. The one concern is Wembanyama’s shooting form in recent games. Could he break out in this matchup?
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks: Too reliant on Irving
Dallas head into the Texas derby after a surprise 115-100 loss to Sacramento, who had lost all six of their games this season. The Mavericks were without the injured Irving, and their offense fell apart in his absence: they shot 41% from the field and 21.2% from three-point range (7-for-33). Flagg had his worst game of the season, scoring 17 points on 3-for-19 shooting. Gafford and Clayton Jr. scored 20 apiece, but got little help from the rest of the team.
Before that, Dallas had won three straight against Miami, Oklahoma City and Houston. But the loss to the Kings exposed just how much the Mavericks rely on Irving offensively. If Kyrie is out again, Dallas will have to take a more cautious approach against the Spurs, and their lack of depth will remain a concern.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Latest news
San Antonio Spurs
⛔ Harris is the only player still sidelined for the San Antonio Spurs.
📋 Projected lineup: Vassell, Castle, Wembanyama, Fox, Harper.
Dallas Mavericks
⛔ Dallas Mavericks will definitely be without Lively and Aldama, while Irving is questionable.
📋 Projected lineup: Flagg, Christie, Gafford, Washington, Martin.
Match prediction
Dallas Mavericks have covered the +16.5 spread in six straight NBA games, while San Antonio Spurs have covered the -5.5 spread in five straight. The hosts can still win while the visitors cover the selected spread. Our pick is Dallas Mavericks +16.5 at odds of 1.45.
Total points prediction
The San Antonio Spurs have seen the total stay under 233.5 points in 11 straight games. The Dallas Mavericks have finished under 228.5 in each of their last six. Their head-to-head meetings have generally produced more than 227.5 points, but those scores could still fall below our chosen line. We’re backing under 233.5 total points at odds of 1.52.
Reliable bet
The San Antonio Spurs have scored fewer than 130.5 points in 24 consecutive NBA games. They have also stayed below 129.5 points in 29 of their last 31 home head-to-head games against the Dallas Mavericks. We’re backing the San Antonio Spurs’ team total under 130.5 points at odds of 1.24.
Top Scorers
Victor Wembanyama is in excellent form, regularly scoring 25 or more points. Against a depleted Dallas Mavericks frontcourt, he should have plenty of room to operate in the paint and on the perimeter. He scored 23 points on the road against Dallas in their first head-to-head meeting, and he is usually even more comfortable at home. We’re backing Wembanyama to score over 26.5 points at odds of 1.72.*
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Home-court advantage and their current run make the San Antonio Spurs clear favourites. Without Lively and Aldama, the Dallas Mavericks lack the personnel to stop Wembanyama in the paint. Gafford is their only big man capable of putting up a fight, but he cannot play all 48 minutes without getting into foul trouble. The Spurs’ formidable offence are finding their best form, and with Fox, Harper and Castle contributing, they should build a big enough lead for a comfortable win. Take the Spurs to cover the -11.5 spread.
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Betting Tips: San Antonio Spurs - Dallas Mavericks
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