New York Liberty (W) vs Lynx Prediction 3 July 2026
๐ The matchup between the New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx, the frontrunners of the WNBA, is set to take place in New York and has all the makings of a headline clash: West Conference leaders taking on the Eastโs best. This upcoming game promises to be a fiercely contested battle, with the hosts aiming to capitalize on their home-court advantage to pull away from their rivals, while the visitors are looking to extend their impressive run on the road.
Head-to-Head
๐Statistical breakdown of previous official meetings between New York Liberty (W) and Minnesota Lynx (W):
- The teams have faced off 51 times;
- New York Liberty have claimed 18 wins (including overtime), while Minnesota Lynx have come out on top in 33 games;
- The hosts average 75.9 points per game, with the visitors putting up an average of 80.49;
- The average combined score stands at 156.39.
Their most recent head-to-head took place on 19 August 2025 at New York Libertyโs home court last season, where the hosts secured a victory, 85-75.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Lynx

New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York Liberty come into this matchup as the leaders of the Eastern Conference, having won 60% of their games. While that's enough to keep them at the top of the East standings for now, their recent form raises some concerns - Liberty have managed just two wins in their last six outings.
On the season, New York Liberty average 87.78 points per game, and that figure has ticked up slightly to 89 points over their recent stretch. However, their defense almost cancels out that advantage, conceding an average of 84.9 points across the last ten games. The team make full use of their offensive firepower at home, but their struggles to maintain a balance between attack and defense often undermine their consistency.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)

Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
Minnesota Lynx are not only leading the Western Conference but also sit atop the entire league, winning 78.9% of their games. The Minneapolis side have dropped just two of their last 15 contests-a remarkable run by any standard. Yet, despite those impressive numbers, their hold on first place in the WNBAโs Western Conference remains precarious; a single slip-up could see them tumble as far as third.
Over their last 10 games, the Lynx are averaging 90.1 points per outing while allowing just 79.7-making them the leagueโs most efficient team defensively. Minnesota thrive by dictating a fast tempo and consistently capitalise on their strengths at both ends of the floor. Even away from home, the Lynx maintain a disciplined defence and make the most of their opportunities around the rim.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 51;
- Home team wins - 18, away team wins - 33.
- Minnesota Lynx (W) have won in 10 of last 11 away games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 75.9, for the away team - 80.49;
- average total points in H2H matches - 156.39.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W)
- average total in the tournament: 171.74 vs 167.05;
- average total points scored: 87.78 vs 88.95;
- average total points conceded: 83.96 vs 78.09;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.48 vs 46;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.74 vs 42.95;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 84.83;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.18;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89 (home - 87.33) vs 90.1 (away - 88).
- Under 179.5 points scored in last 10 New York Liberty (W) home games (WNBA).