Lynx vs New York Liberty (W) Prediction 11 July 2026
π The Minnesota Lynx host the New York Liberty in a showdown between two teams sitting near the top of their respective WNBA conferences. The Lynx currently hold second place in the West as they continue to chase down their main rivals, while the Liberty lead the East and are looking to solidify their position at the summit. This matchup promises plenty of intensity, with both clubs eager to strengthen their grip among the leagueβs elite.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Minnesota Lynx (W) and New York Liberty (W):
- played 52 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 33 for today's home team and 19 for the guests;
- the home team averages 80.6 points per match, the guests - 76.35;
- average total match points - 156.94.
The last confrontation took place on 03 July 2026 at the venue of New York Liberty (W) and ended with a score of 99:86.
Head-to-head statistics Lynx - New York Liberty (W)
Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
Minnesota head into this matchup fresh off a victory over the Connecticut Sun (86-80), making it three wins and two losses in their last five outings. Over their previous ten games, the team have posted six wins and four defeats, highlighting a consistent run of form with only minor setbacks.
The Lynx are averaging 88.7 points scored per game this season while conceding 79.4, and over the last 10 games, those numbers stand at 88.7 points for and 83.8 against. Minnesota traditionally perform strongly at home, frequently surpassing the 86-point mark, maintaining a high tempo, and showcasing impressive efficiency in their set plays.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York have struggled with consistency lately, recording two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Over their previous ten games, Libertyβs record is perfectly balanced with five victories and five defeats.
On the season, the team averages 87.8 points per game while allowing opponents to score around 84.2. However, over the last ten games, their defensive numbers have dipped slightly, conceding 85.3 points per contest while maintaining a similar offensive output at 87.3. Notably, Liberty continue to thrive offensively on the road, frequently surpassing the 86-point mark away from home.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 52;
- number of wins for the home team - 33, for the away team - 19.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 22 vs 22;
- number of wins: 19 (76%) vs 15 (60%);
- number of losses: 6 (24%) vs 10 (40%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 7;
- number of away wins for the away team: 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of home wins for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Minnesota Lynx (W) won with a +1.5 points handicap in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.6, for the away team - 76.35;
- average total points in H2H matches - 156.94.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- average total in the tournament: 168.2 vs 172;
- average total points scored: 88.72 vs 87.8;
- average total points conceded: 79.48 vs 84.2;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 45.84 vs 43.6;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 42.88 vs 43.68;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.82;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 91;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.7 (home - 91.67) vs 87.3 (away - 87).
- Minnesota Lynx (W) have scored over 86.5 points in 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).
β Editor's Pick
Weβre expecting a high-tempo contest packed with scoring on both ends - both teams average over 85 points per game. Minnesota consistently capitalise on their home-court advantage: they've surpassed the 86.5-point mark in seven of their last eight games at home, underlining their offensive efficiency in front of their fans, even against strong opposition. The visitors are also capable of keeping up with the pace thanks to their up-tempo style on the road, but our focus is on Minnesotaβs firepower. The pick: home team individual total over 85.5.
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Betting Tips: Minnesota Lynx (W) - New York Liberty (W)
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