Lynx vs New York Liberty (W) Prediction 18 September 2026
🔊 In this WNBA regular season clash, the Minnesota Lynx take on the New York Liberty. With both sides boasting high-quality rosters, fans can expect a tightly contested battle that could go down to the wire. Given the extended break, both teams may struggle to find their rhythm early on, which could open the door for the visitors to capitalize and boost their chances of coming away with a positive result.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these teams met was in July, with Minnesota hosting and coming out on top 90-85. It's worth noting a trend: in each of the last four head-to-head clashes, the home side has claimed victory.
Head-to-head statistics Lynx - New York Liberty (W)
Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview
Minnesota currently sit atop the regular season standings. However, right before the break, the Lynx suffered back-to-back defeats-first falling to the Golden State Valkyries (66-80), then dropping a game to Atlanta (81-89). It's reasonable to expect that Minnesota could face further offensive struggles. Sure, they average 90 points per game, and 92 at home, but the layoff is likely to have an impact. Even if their ball movement looks sharp-which is highly probable-their efficiency, especially in the first half, might leave much to be desired. Regaining top form takes time, so expecting outright dominance from the Lynx right away would be overly optimistic.
Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
The New York Liberty are delivering a solid campaign so far. While they’re not topping the regular season standings, a 60% win rate is a respectable midseason return. Of course, there are issues-defensively, they’ve been inconsistent, conceding an average of 86.9 points per game, and that number climbs above 90 on the road. Still, they’re likely to put up a real fight in this matchup. Offensively, Liberty have been impressive, averaging 90 points per outing. Much like their opponents, they’ll need some time to settle into their rhythm, but New York have plenty of options on the offensive end. Defensively, regardless of the pace, they should be able to make the necessary adjustments. It’s hard to see this team getting blown out.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.77, for the away team - 76.51;
- average total points in H2H matches - 157.28.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- average total in the tournament: 172.98 vs 176.53;
- average total points scored: 90.47 vs 89.67;
- average total points conceded: 82.51 vs 86.86;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.47 vs 44.35;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44 vs 44.65;
- Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 92.19;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 91.9;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.6 (home - 91.4) vs 89.7 (away - 86.67).
- New York Liberty (W) have scored over 84.5 points in 16 of last 18 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 53;
- number of wins for the home team - 34, for the away team - 19.
Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs New York Liberty (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 40 vs 40;
- number of wins: 34 (79.07%) vs 26 (60.47%);
- number of losses: 9 (20.93%) vs 17 (39.53%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 15;
- number of away wins for the away team: 11.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 3;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- New York Liberty (W) won with a +14.5 points handicap in 14 of last 15 games (WNBA).
- New York Liberty (W) won with a +14.5 points handicap in last 7 away games (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This matchup promises to be a fiercely contested game of basketball-not just in terms of individual battles, but also from a tactical standpoint. Both teams are well-drilled in this area, and given the overall context, defense is likely to play a pivotal role. Minnesota are expected to stick to their usual style-balanced, with a measured offensive approach. However, even open looks may not fall at their usual rate. Liberty are well-positioned to capitalize on such opportunities. Our editorial team believes the bookmakers are seriously underestimating the visitors here. Backing New York with a +10.5 handicap looks like a smart play.
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Betting Tips: Minnesota Lynx (W) - New York Liberty (W)
in last 7 away games (WNBA).in 16 of last 18 games (WNBA).
in 10 of last 11 Minnesota Lynx (W) home games (WNBA).in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBA).
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