Reds vs Cubs Prediction 11 July 2026
📡 The Cincinnati Reds kicked off the series with a 4-0 shutout victory, racking up 13 hits. The Chicago Cubs failed to back their starting pitcher with any offense, suffering their second consecutive loss. On the mound for the home team is Nick Lodolo, while the visitors will start Javier Assad. Both starting pitchers have an ERA above 4.00, and the lineups are well-acquainted with each other after five head-to-head games this season.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs each secured five wins. This season, the teams have faced off five times: two of those games featured at least 11 runs, including scores of 7-6 and 8-3. The first game of the new series ended 4-0, despite Cincinnati generating numerous opportunities and racking up 13 hits. The balance between the pair remains even.
Head-to-head statistics Reds - Cubs
Cincinnati Reds Team Overview
The Cincinnati Reds hold a 43-50 record and are still in search of consistency as the break approaches. Their 4-0 victory highlighted the offense's solid form: the hosts consistently got on base and maintained control throughout the game. The team has racked up 388 runs this season, and in certain games, they can significantly increase the pace with long hits. Against Assad, it's crucial to capitalize more effectively on numerous hits than they did in the series opener.
Match Results: Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs Team Overview
The Chicago Cubs hold a 52-42 record and continue to be one of the league's most prolific teams. Over the season, they've scored 471 runs, placing them among the top in this category. A shutout loss in the series opener was an unusual slip for an offense that typically applies pressure throughout the lineup. In the second matchup, the Cubs need to be more aggressive against Lodolo and prevent the hosts from comfortably controlling the game from the mound again.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Cincinnati have Nick Lodolo on the mound. The left-hander holds a 3-2 record, a 4.68 ERA, and has struck out 46 batters. His season has been inconsistent, and against Chicago's deep lineup, even brief lapses can prove costly. It's crucial for Lodolo to limit walks and prevent the visitors from stringing together multiple base runners.
Javier Assad takes the hill for Chicago. The right-hander boasts a 6-1 record with a 4.15 ERA and 33 strikeouts. While his win-loss record is impressive, the ERA suggests Cincinnati will have their chances. Assad needs to better manage contact after the hosts racked up 13 hits in the series opener.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The first encounter wrapped up with just four runs, but Cincinnati's offense was already making significant contact. Assad and Lodolo both come into this contest with an ERA over 4.00, and both teams are well aware of each other's weaknesses after a series of matchups this season. The Cubs need to respond after being shut out, while the hosts enter the game with 13 hits from their previous outing. For the high total to be reached, both offenses need to be active, but the starting pitchers provide ample opportunities for big innings and early bullpen appearances. Here, we go with the total over 9.5.
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Betting Tips: Cincinnati Reds - Chicago Cubs
in 7 of last 8 Chicago Cubs away games (MLB).Other predictions
