Cubs vs Reds Prediction 29 August 2026
📡 Friday’s game was a perfect reflection of where these teams are right now: Cincinnati trailed 1-8 before rallying with nine unanswered runs to claim a 10-8 victory. That’s the second time in three games the Reds have pulled off a dramatic late comeback. The Cubs racked up 13 hits and eight runs, but once again their pitching let them down. Saturday’s matchup will see Andrew Abbott take the mound for Cincinnati against Kevin Gausman for Chicago.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last ten head-to-head meetings have consistently produced high-scoring games. This season alone has already seen scorelines like 7-6, 8-3, 8-4, and yesterday’s 10-8 thriller. Cincinnati have racked up 43 runs against the Cubs over their last ten encounters, with 10 of those coming just on Friday. Both teams possess enough firepower to turn a single poor inning from a starter or reliever into a four- or five-run burst.
Head-to-head statistics Cubs - Reds

Chicago Cubs Team Overview
The Cubs stand at 76-59 but are currently on a four-game losing streak. Friday’s defeat was particularly tough: they blew an 8-1 lead and still came up short. On the bright side, the offense finally woke up after being shut out in Arizona, racking up 13 hits, two home runs, and eight runs. Over their last 10 games, Chicago have scored 58 runs with an OPS of .835, so the bigger issue right now is how many runs they’re allowing on the defensive end.
Match Results: Chicago Cubs

Cincinnati Reds Team Overview
The Reds have improved to 64-71, taking two of their last three games, each time putting up 10 runs on the board. Over their past ten outings, they've launched 14 home runs. In San Francisco, Cincinnati rallied for six runs in the ninth inning, and on Friday, they nearly pulled off a similar comeback in Chicago. This recent power surge is particularly intriguing ahead of their matchup with Gausman, who carries a 4.37 ERA this season.
Match Results: Cincinnati Reds
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Kevin Gausman enters with a 7-11 record, a 4.37 ERA, and 149 strikeouts. His most recent outing was his best since joining the Cubs-seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits. Still, his season has been inconsistent overall, and one strong appearance doesn't erase the ongoing issues he's had with home runs and long innings.
Andrew Abbott sits at 6-9 with a 4.15 ERA. He’s already pitched 5.2 shutout innings at Wrigley Field back in May, so this matchup won’t be unfamiliar territory. However, his campaign has been average at best: a WHIP near 1.40 and 68 walks have put extra runners on base ahead of the power bats in the Cubs’ lineup.
⭐ Editor's Pick
After yesterday’s 18-run slugfest, the line remains set at 8.5. Gausman heads to the mound coming off a strong outing, but Cincinnati have just posted double-digit runs in two of their last three games. The Cubs have also shown they can turn up the power in a hurry-eight runs and 13 hits in yesterday’s contest prove that. Abbott’s elevated WHIP suggests the hosts will consistently put runners on base. Chicago’s bullpen, especially in the late innings, looks particularly vulnerable right now. We’re backing the over 8.5 total runs here.
