Majchrzak vs Medjedovic Prediction 30 August 2026
🔊 At the US Open, Kamil Majchrzak and Hamad Medjedovic meet just over a year on from their Roland Garros encounter, where the Serb won in three sets. The two are now separated by just six ranking places, and both arrive in New York after a difficult start to the North American hard-court swing. With the odds close to even, second-serve consistency over the long haul could be the deciding factor.
Head-to-Head
Medjedovic leads the head-to-head 2-1. The Serb won in Grodzisk Mazowiecki in 2022 (6-4, 6-2) and at Roland Garros 2025 (6-3, 6-3, 7-6). Majchrzak took their Busan Challenger meeting in 2022, winning 7-6, 6-4.
Head-to-head statistics Majchrzak - Medjedovic
Kamil Majchrzak Player Overview
Majchrzak is ranked 72nd in the ATP rankings. On hard courts in 2026, the Pole has won 8 of 20 matches, held serve in 79% of his service games and broken in 18% of his return games. His overall record is in the red, though the level of opposition has been high - his wins include matches against Tommy Paul, Learner Tien and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
Majchrzak has lost his last four matches, but two of them went to a tie-break in the second set. In Winston-Salem, Benjamin Bonzi beat him 6-4, 7-6, and in Cincinnati, Christopher O'Connell did the same, 6-4, 7-6. The Pole has regularly taken matches deep into sets, and at the Australian Open he played two full five-set matches and came through the first round.
Match Results: Kamil Majchrzak
Hamad Medjedovic Player Overview
Medjedovic is ranked 78th in the ATP rankings. On hard courts this season, the Serb has won 6 of 13 matches, held serve in 82% of his service games and broken in 18% of his opponents' service games. He has hit more aces than Majchrzak, but has won only 51% of second-serve points, and a high number of double faults has complicated several tight matches for him.
Since returning to hard courts after the grass swing, Hamad has lost both matches he has played - to Juan Manuel Cerúndolo (4-6, 2-6) and Marco Trungelliti (5-7, 6-7) - without taking a set in either. At the Australian Open he beat Mariano Navone in four sets before losing to Alex de Minaur, dropping three sets in a row after a promising start.
Match Results: Hamad Medjedovic
Key factors
- The two players are separated by just six places in the ATP rankings.
- Majchrzak has beaten Paul and Tien on hard courts.
- Medjedovic lost both of his August matches without winning a set.
- On hard courts, the Serb has held serve in 82% of his service games, the Pole in 79%.
- Medjedovic leads their head-to-head 2-1.
Expected scenario
Medjedovic will look to dictate with his serve and first strike, but Majchrzak has the ability to extend rallies regularly and test the second serve. If the Serb's accuracy doesn't improve on his August matches, the Pole will have break-point opportunities in every set.
For Majchrzak, avoiding a slow start and staying level into the late stages of each set will be key. His recent defeats have been closer than Medjedovic's results, and his experience of long matches at the Australian Open could give him an extra edge in a fourth or fifth set.
Total Games Prediction
The tight odds and similar hold rates leave room for a lengthy match. That said, both players are vulnerable on second serve, which raises the prospect of short sets with multiple breaks - making the total a less reliable bet than picking a side.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Medjedovic has the bigger serve, but in August he has yet to win a set and has struggled noticeably in rallies off his opponents' second serve. Majchrzak is also winless, yet he kept it tight against Bonzi and O'Connell and has more experience grinding through long matches on hard courts.
A win for the Pole doesn't require a games advantage and holds up at 3-1 or 3-2. Our pick is Kamil Majchrzak to Win.
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Betting Tips: Kamil Majchrzak - Hamad Medjedovic
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