Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Quarterfinal
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
WTA - 36

Sabalenka vs Kostyuk Prediction 30 April 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    UKR
    Marta Kostyuk
    77
    79
    2
    64
    67
    0

    🎾Aryna Sabalenka enjoys the most favorable draw at the Madrid tournament. She's cruised to the quarterfinals with little stress, where she'll face Ukrainian player Marta Kostyuk. Will the favorite secure a straightforward victory? Or will the underdog spring a surprise? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Sabalenka and Kostyuk have faced each other twice, with the Belarusian athlete claiming victory in both encounters. On clay, they've met once in a head-to-head match, where Sabalenka secured a 2-0 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    5 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    11.01.26
    BRI
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    12.05.25
    ROM
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    6
    30.04.25
    Spain Madrid
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    7
    6
    7
    6
    28.05.23
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    15.02.22
    DUB
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    Empty
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    Sabalenka has been fortunate with the draw at the Madrid tournament and so far, the Belarusian hasn't faced any significant challenges. Aryna has played three matches, dropping just one set. The surprising start against Mertens was quickly forgotten as Sabalenka dominated the second set 6-2, and in the deciding set, she nearly delivered a bagel but conceded one game. Sabalenka is in excellent form; she's joking, she's winning, and she's aiming for the WTA 1000 final. At this point, few can stand in her way.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    0
    7
    5
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elsa Jacquemot
    Elsa Jacquemot
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Marta Kostyuk Player Overview

    The Ukrainian tennis player kicked off her preparations for Roland Garros right in Madrid. Surprisingly, Kostyuk advanced through three rounds to reach the quarterfinals. Along the way, she defeated Raducanu, Veronika Kudermetova, and Potapova. Against Potapova, Kostyuk wrapped up the match in nearly an hour and a half without any issues. While Potapova wasn't at her best for this match, Marta effectively capitalized on her opponent's lack of form.

    Match Results: Marta Kostyuk

    04.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Mirra Andreeva
    Mirra Andreeva
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    L
    02.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    W
    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    W
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Viktorija Golubic
    Viktorija Golubic
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Katie Volynets
    Katie Volynets
    2
    1
    64
    77
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    No matter how much we discuss or write about it, the outcome of this match seems clear-cut. Kostyuk is unlikely to pose a challenge to Sabalenka, as was the case in their two previous head-to-heads, and it will likely be the same this time around. Our bet is Sabalenka Handicap (-4.5).

    Our choice
    Aryna Sabalenka Handicap (-4.5) at odds of -147*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 April 2025, 02:01)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set
    aryna-sabalenkain 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -345
    Aryna Sabalenka has won under 13.5 games
    aryna-sabalenkain 19 of last 21 matches.
    Aryna Sabalenka Total Under (13.5)
    MyBookie
    -370
    Over 16.5 games
    aryna-sabalenkain last 6 Aryna Sabalenka games.
    Total Over (16.5)
    -385
    Marta Kostyuk has won over 8.5 games
    kostyuk-martain last 5 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk Total Over (8.5)
    MyBookie
    +100
    View more facts