Sabalenka vs Kostyuk Prediction 11 January 2026
🔊 Can Marta Kostyuk pull off another upset in Brisbane, or will Aryna Sabalenka continue her dominant run? Both tennis players have hit an impressive form at the start of the season, reaching the final of the year's first WTA 500 with minimal setbacks. For Aryna, this marks her third consecutive final at the Brisbane WTA 500, and she even claimed the title in 2025. Will the Belarusian add another trophy to her collection, or will the Ukrainian dethrone the queen of Australia? Our editorial team evaluates the opponents' chances in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The tennis players have faced each other four times. In their head-to-head matchups, Aryna Sabalenka has completely dominated, securing victory in every encounter. Remarkably, the Belarusian hasn't dropped a single set.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview
Aryna Sabalenka has been showcasing consistently powerful form since the end of last season, with just one loss in her last ten matches. In Brisbane, the Belarusian remains flawless in sets, conceding an average of only five games over a span of four matches. Such dominance in the women's tour is achieved through her precise first serve, hitting 72% of them, and averaging three aces per match, allowing her to win 47% of her service games. Despite the risks inherent in her aggressive style, Aryna commits a minimal number of double faults-just nine in her last ten matches. The only area that could use improvement is her performance on break points, where she loses about a third of them.
Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka
Marta Kostyuk Player Overview
Marta Kostyuk set her sights on breaking into the top 10 of the world rankings as her goal for the year, and in Brisbane, she's proving that was no idle talk. In her last three matches, the Ukrainian has shown she can compete on equal footing with top 10 WTA players. Her journey has included victories over Amanda Anisimova, Jessica Pegula, and Mirra Andreeva-ranked 3rd, 6th, and 9th in the world, respectively. Impressively, Kostyuk didn't drop a single set against these high-ranking opponents. While her average ace count is noticeably lower than Sabalenka's, at just 1.8 per match, she makes up for a less powerful serve with high efficiency on return and an ability to handle pressure: winning 54% of break points. Double faults remain an issue (24 in her last ten matches), but her speed and court positioning often allow her to recover from such mistakes.
Match Results: Marta Kostyuk
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Analyzing the form and playing style of both tennis players, it's clear that Aryna Sabalenka might face a tough challenge. Her serve and aggressive approach usually ensure dominance on the court, but her struggles with break points could be an issue against Kostyuk, who excels in capitalizing on these opportunities. Sabalenka's main advantage lies in her ability to dictate the pace of the game with powerful shots and her physical presence. However, the Ukrainian's agility and smart court positioning have consistently allowed her to overcome similar challenges, even against higher-ranked opponents in Brisbane. In Sabalenka's last four finals, at least 20 games were played. We believe Marta can pose certain challenges to the world number one, making this match likely to extend. Our prediction: total games over 19.5.
Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk
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in last 4 matches against Marta Kostyuk.Other predictions
