Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/8
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
WTA - 27

Sabalenka vs Kostyuk Prediction 12 May 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    UKR
    Marta Kostyuk
    6
    710
    2
    1
    68
    0

    🎾World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka has a chance this season to break Serena Williams' record for points scored. However, she must secure a victory in Rome to achieve this. Currently in the round of 16, she faces a tough opponent in Marta Kostyuk, who pushed Sabalenka to two tiebreaks in Madrid. Who will come out on top this time? Read our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Sabalenka and Kostyuk have faced each other three times, and Marta has yet to secure a victory in any of those matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    5 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    11.01.26
    BRI
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    12.05.25
    ROM
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    6
    30.04.25
    Spain Madrid
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    7
    6
    7
    6
    28.05.23
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    15.02.22
    DUB
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    The Madrid quarterfinal between Sabalenka and Kostyuk was the longest match in the women's tournament in the Spanish capital. Now, this duo is set to face off again in the Round of 16 in Rome. Sabalenka is adept at learning from her mistakes and will undoubtedly aim to perform better this time. However, Kostyuk has realized that she can compete with the world number one. Sabalenka's recent match against Kenin was a tough battle, lasting over two hours. In three sets, the world number one rallied from a set down to claim victory. Sabalenka's relentless pace and pursuit of records might not yield the results she desires. Fatigue could significantly impact Aryna's performance.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    0
    7
    5
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elsa Jacquemot
    Elsa Jacquemot
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Marta Kostyuk Player Overview

    Kostyuk is having a fantastic run at the Rome tournament. She hasn't dropped a single set so far, defeating Eala, Kasatkina, and Fernandez along the way. She handed Eala a bagel, barely felt Kasatkina's presence, and Fernandez couldn't put up much resistance. Kostyuk is in excellent form, and everyone is well aware of this, which means for the first time in a long while, Sabalenka doesn't seem like the clear favorite in their upcoming match.

    Match Results: Marta Kostyuk

    04.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Mirra Andreeva
    Mirra Andreeva
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    L
    02.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    W
    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    W
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Viktorija Golubic
    Viktorija Golubic
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Katie Volynets
    Katie Volynets
    2
    1
    64
    77
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    Marta Kostyuk is in excellent form and has realized that she can compete against Aryna Sabalenka, especially if she holds her nerve in the closing stages of matches. In this encounter, Kostyuk is capable of taking at least one set from Sabalenka. Our bet is on Kostyuk to cover the +1.5 set handicap.

    Our choice
    Marta Kostyuk Sets Handicap (+1.5) at odds of -116*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 May 2025, 12:39)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set
    aryna-sabalenkain last 8 matches.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -263
    Aryna Sabalenka has won
    aryna-sabalenkain last 8 matches.
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -312
    Marta Kostyuk has won
    kostyuk-martain 6 of last 7 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk Win
    Bovada
    +250
    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 1st set
    aryna-sabalenkain 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -263
    View more facts