Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 4

Sabalenka vs Pegula Prediction 29 March 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    7
    6
    2
    5
    2
    0

    Will Aryna Sabalenka hand Jessica Pegula her third consecutive defeat? Sportbooks are almost certain she will. A clash between the world's top-ranked player and the local crowd's favorite is a fitting description for a match at the decisive stage of the Miami tournament, and we've prepared a special prediction just for you.

    Head-to-Head

    Let's remember that last year, the ladies clashed twice in North America, and on both occasions, it didn't result in a rout (7-5; 7-5 and 6-3; 7-5).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    9 Wins
    25%
    3 Wins
    04.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    6
    4
    2
    6
    6
    3
    11.10.25
    WUH
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    6
    2
    4
    6
    6
    7
    04.09.25
    USO
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    29.03.25
    MIA
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    07.09.24
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    5
    7
    5
    7
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    Sabalenka has confidently advanced through her draw, spending less than six hours on the court. Two consecutive final losses have not deterred Aryna from her path, as she has learned to coolly respond to any setbacks. Last summer, the Belarusian conquered a Masters 1000 event in similar conditions (Cincinnati), where it's worth noting she also won all five matches without dropping a set. The athlete is rapidly increasing her lead over Iga Świątek in the world rankings (by just under three thousand points), simultaneously bolstering her confidence in her own abilities.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    0
    7
    5
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elsa Jacquemot
    Elsa Jacquemot
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Pegula faced significant challenges on her way to the title, managing to easily dispatch Marta Kostyuk. In crucial moments, Jessica acted with utmost discipline, which allowed her to avoid disaster. This month, the American has already claimed a trophy on home soil (Austin), which did not lead to a decrease in motivation. Today, in intense battles, the tennis player triumphed over Alexandra Eala, not allowing her a single break point in the decisive set.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    In our considered opinion, this match is unlikely to be over quickly. Given their long history of rivalry, the opponents have learned to exploit each other's weaknesses to the fullest, and we believe they will once again delight fans with a prolonged and intriguing battle. Opting for the over is our preferred choice for this encounter.
    Our choice
    Total Over (20.5) at odds of -120*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 March 2025, 05:00)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set
    aryna-sabalenkapegula-jessicain 7 of last 8 matches against Jessica Pegula.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -286
    Jessica Pegula has won
    pegula-jessicain 12 of last 13 matches.
    pegula-jessicain last 5 matches (WTA Miami).
    Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    +325
    Aryna Sabalenka has won
    aryna-sabalenkapegula-jessicain 6 of last 7 matches against Jessica Pegula.
    aryna-sabalenkain 10 of last 11 matches.
    aryna-sabalenkain last 5 matches (WTA Miami).
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -417
    Jessica Pegula has won the 1st set
    pegula-jessicain 12 of last 13 matches.
    1st Set Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    +220
    View more facts