Sabalenka vs Pegula Prediction 4 November 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    6
    2
    6
    2
    4
    6
    3
    1

    The stage is set for a thrilling showdown between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula at the season's final tournament. This match carries significant weight as both players aim to solidify their standings in the world rankings and showcase their prowess on a major stage. The contest will unfold on an indoor hard court, a surface that favors aggressive players with powerful serves like Sabalenka. Nonetheless, Pegula's experience on this surface makes her a formidable opponent.

    Head-to-Head

    The rivals have faced each other 11 times, with Pegula claiming 3 victories.

    Head-to-head statistics Sabalenka - Pegula

    69%
    9 Wins
    31%
    4 Wins
    20.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    7
    6
    0
    6
    04.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    6
    4
    2
    6
    6
    3
    11.10.25
    WUH
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    6
    2
    4
    6
    6
    7
    04.09.25
    USO
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    29.03.25
    MIA
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    Aryna Sabalenka approaches the match in excellent form, having won four of her last five encounters. Her playing style is marked by aggressive baseline shots and a powerful serve. She feels confident on indoor hard courts, boasting a high first-serve percentage (68%) and significant effectiveness during rallies, winning 54% of points. In her recent match against Jasmine Paolini, Sabalenka secured a convincing victory with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-1. Despite a loss to Pegula earlier in October, Aryna is eager for a rematch. An interesting fact: she hasn't lost in straight sets in her last ten matches, underscoring her resilience even against strong opponents.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    0
    2
    67
    79
    4
    6
    L
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    W
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Talia Gibson
    Talia Gibson
    2
    0
    6
    2
    77
    62
    W
    08.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    1
    2
    63
    77
    6
    4
    4
    6
    L
    06.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Shuai Zhang
    Shuai Zhang
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Jessica Pegula has been showing consistent performances throughout the season and enters this match in fine form, having won four of her last five encounters. Known for her ability to adapt to any conditions and play strategically smart, especially against strong opponents, she remains a formidable competitor. Her recent clash with Coco Gauff ended in victory after a grueling three-set marathon with scores of 3-6, 7-6, 2-6, highlighting the American's endurance. While her average ace count is lower (3.3) compared to her opponent, her high first serve accuracy (63%) helps her maintain control during rallies.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    23.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Cori Gauff
    Cori Gauff
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
    22.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    1
    7
    5
    4
    6
    6
    4
    W
    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Amanda Anisimova
    Amanda Anisimova
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    2
    64
    77
    W
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Sorana Cirstea
    Sorana Cirstea
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    4
    5
    7
    W
    17.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Emma Navarro
    Emma Navarro
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be thrilling considering the recent head-to-head history between these players - their last encounter ended with Pegula winning in three sets with a high number of games. The playing styles of both athletes suggest an intense battle for every point - Sabalenka will aim to dominate with the power of her shots, while Pegula will counter with tactical flexibility and persistence in extended rallies. We are likely to witness at least two long sets or even tiebreaks, so the prediction is for a total over 19.5 games - a trend in their matchups. Our bet is on the match total over 19.5 games.

    Total Over (19,5)
    Published: 03/11/2025, 14:13

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    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set:
    aryna-sabalenkain 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    -312
    Jessica Pegula has won the 3rd set:
    pegula-jessicain 5 of last 6 matches.
    3rd Set Jessica Pegula Win
    -
    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 1st set:
    aryna-sabalenkain last 4 matches.
    1st Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Aryna Sabalenka has won:
    aryna-sabalenkain 6 of last 7 matches.
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -323
    View more facts