Sabalenka vs Pegula Prediction 4 September 2025
🎾The first US Open semifinal is set, with Aryna Sabalenka taking on Jessica Pegula. The world number one finds herself in an ideal situation, having gained an extra day off after Vondrousova withdrew due to a knee injury. Pegula, meanwhile, faced a relatively straightforward match against Krejcikova.
Head-to-Head
Sobolenko and Pegula have faced each other nine times, with the American securing just two victories. Notably, only three of these encounters took place on surfaces other than hard courts.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview
Sabalenka continues to cruise at the US Open, with the world number one yet to drop a set. While it's true that she hasn't faced particularly strong opponents so far, apart from Leylah Fernandez, who has previously won the US Open, the quarterfinal turned out to be a breeze for the Belarusian. Her opponent withdrew due to a knee injury sustained in a match against Rybakina. Sabalenka will have four days of rest before the semifinal, which could disrupt her rhythm and have a negative impact. An unplanned break means a slight adjustment in preparation plans. Nevertheless, Sabalenka knows exactly how to prepare and perform in such matches. Moreover, her head-to-head record against Pegula underscores Sabalenka's dominance.
Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka
Jessica Pegula Player Overview
The American faced little resistance in the US Open quarterfinals. Pegula took on Barbora Krejcikova, who had endured several intense and grueling matches leading up to this encounter. The Czech simply ran out of steam. Pegula triumphed 6-3, 6-3, showcasing her skills at the net. However, Jessica didn't exert herself too much, maintaining a steady performance without aggression. Throughout the tournament, the American has not dropped a set and hasn't even been pushed to a tiebreak. Hard courts are Pegula's favorite surface, where she feels most comfortable, bolstered by the enthusiastic support of the fans. Jessica is determined to fight until the very end, especially as she aims to surpass last year's result and finally clinch the title.
Match Results: Jessica Pegula
Editor's Prediction
Sabalenka is the clear favorite, having defeated Pegula in last year's US Open final with scores of 7-5, 7-5. While Jessica is certainly eager for revenge, their head-to-head history suggests that the world number one holds the upper hand. Expect a tightly contested match, with Sabalenka coming in fresh and rested, while Pegula will have the support of the home crowd behind her. Our bet is on the total match points over 19.5.
Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula
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