Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 6
0
:
2
Ended
Elena Rybakina
KAZ
WTA - 5

Pegula vs Rybakina Prediction 29 January 2026

    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    KAZ
    Elena Rybakina
    3
    67
    0
    6
    79
    2

    🔊 Who will earn the chance to compete in the decisive match? The first Grand Slam tournament of the year is nearing its logical conclusion. Let's take a closer look at the women's semifinal clash between Jessica Pegula and Elena Rybakina. Both seasoned athletes have reached these stages before, making their head-to-head even more intriguing. We offer our prediction for this matchup.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record between the women is currently tied. The winner of this match will not only advance to the final but also take the lead in their personal encounters. Last time, it was Rybakina who defeated Pegula during last year's season-ending tournament.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    3 Wins
    67%
    6 Wins
    25.03.26
    MIA
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    13.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    1
    6
    6
    7
    29.01.26
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    07.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    1
    2
    6
    4
    4
    6
    3
    6
    18.09.25
    Fed Cup
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    The successful warm-up tournament in Brisbane has become a launching pad for the American player. She performed brilliantly in Melbourne, and that's already evident. So far, she hasn't dropped a single set, which is undoubtedly impressive. Does she have enough energy for one last push? Only the titans remain in the competition.

    In some ways, Jessica benefited from the draw, but her achievements shouldn't be overlooked. While the tournament's start was relatively smooth, her last two matches were against true top-tier opponents-Madison Keys and Amanda Anisimova. Pegula conceded just two service games in each match-a masterful performance. It's worth noting that her first serve had a reliability rate of nearly 60 percent in both matches. It was dependable, if not particularly thrilling.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Elena Rybakina Player Overview

    It's especially delightful to see Elena at this stage of the tournament. There's a strong hope that her prolonged slump is finally behind her. We witnessed a real surge in form during the 2025 Finals, and now Rybakina seems even stronger. She's had a challenging schedule at the Australian Open.

    Remarkably, Rybakina hasn't dropped a single set in the current tournament, despite facing tough opponents. Notable straight-set victories came against Valentova and Mertens. And, of course, the triumph over the formidable Iga Swiatek stands out. Undoubtedly, Rybakina's most dazzling match of the tournament. She fired 11 aces and lost only one service game, even with a first serve accuracy of just 49 percent. Is the path to the final wide open?

    Match Results: Elena Rybakina

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Veronika Erjavec
    Veronika Erjavec
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    W
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Karolina Pliskova
    Karolina Pliskova
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Alexandra Eala
    Alexandra Eala
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    The women haven't dropped a set in the tournament yet, but that could change in their head-to-head clash. We anticipate a three-set battle, given how closely matched they are in form. Rybakina is the favorite, but Pegula knows how to challenge her. The American can put up a fight with her aggressive play, and Elena isn't always flawless in such scenarios. Plus, it's worth remembering that maintaining excellence constantly is impossible-everyone experiences dips in performance. Our bet is Jessica Pegula to win with a +1.5 set handicap.

    Our choice
    Jessica Pegula Sets Handicap (+1.5) at odds of -152*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 January 2026, 10:52)

    Betting Tips: Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina

    Jessica Pegula has won
    pegula-jessicain 8 of last 9 matches.
    pegula-jessicain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    Jessica Pegula Win
    MyBookie
    +350
    Elena Rybakina has won
    rybakina-elenain 8 of last 9 matches.
    rybakina-elenain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    Elena Rybakina Win
    Bovada
    -233
    Jessica Pegula has won the 1st set
    pegula-jessicain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    1st Set Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    +145
    Elena Rybakina has won the 1st set
    rybakina-elenain 8 of last 9 matches.
    rybakina-elenain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    1st Set Elena Rybakina Win
    Bovada
    -189
    View more facts