Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 5
0
:
2
Ended
Elena Rybakina
KAZ
WTA - 3

Pegula vs Rybakina Prediction 13 March 2026

    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    KAZ
    Elena Rybakina
    1
    64
    0
    6
    77
    2

    🔊 Jessica Pegula has already matched her best performance at the Indian Wells Masters by reaching the quarterfinals. She now faces Elena Rybakina, who claimed the title at this American tournament three years ago. Both players have hit impressive form this season, promising an intriguing clash. Will the home crowd support help Pegula break her three-match losing streak against Rybakina? Let's assess her chances in our editorial's prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The tennis players have a rich history of head-to-head encounters, totaling seven matches. Rybakina holds a slight edge in victories with four to Pegula's three. However, the Kazakhstani player is currently on an impressive streak, having triumphed in their last three meetings against Pegula.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    3 Wins
    67%
    6 Wins
    25.03.26
    MIA
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    13.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    1
    6
    6
    7
    29.01.26
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    07.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    1
    2
    6
    4
    4
    6
    3
    6
    18.09.25
    Fed Cup
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Since her last defeat this season, which came at the hands of Rybakina in the Australian Open semifinals in Melbourne, Jessica Pegula has been on a remarkable run, remaining unbeaten in eight matches. During this stretch, she clinched the Dubai Masters title and matched her career-best performance at Indian Wells by reaching the quarterfinals. In 2026, it's evident that Pegula has honed her already formidable shot, significantly increasing her ace count. In this current Masters tournament alone, the American has fired off 28 aces.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Elena Rybakina Player Overview

    Elena Rybakina is also in fine form, having won four of her last five matches. Her only setback in this stretch came in Dubai, and that was due to her own withdrawal. The highlight of Elena's 2026 season so far is undoubtedly her Australian Open title. While we praised Pegula's work on her stroke, Rybakina's serve remains unmatched: it not only boasts impressive power but also lands the first serve 69% of the time, allowing her to dominate her service games by consistently winning 70% of points.

    Match Results: Elena Rybakina

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Veronika Erjavec
    Veronika Erjavec
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    W
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Karolina Pliskova
    Karolina Pliskova
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Alexandra Eala
    Alexandra Eala
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Jessica Pegula won with a +4.5 games handicap in 6 of last 7 matches against Elena Rybakina.
    👉Prediction: Jessica Pegula Handicap (+4.5)(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Jessica Pegula has won over 11.5 games in 13 of last 14 matches.
    👉Prediction: Jessica Pegula Total Over (11.5)(odds: 1.85)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Pegula is in outstanding form, riding an eight-match winning streak and showcasing confident play on hard courts, particularly with her serve. Rybakina has been consistent as well, although there were concerns about her physical condition in Dubai, especially after withdrawing from the tournament. Given these circumstances, despite the odds, we believe Pegula can challenge the world's third-ranked player, even with her current three-match losing streak in their head-to-head encounters. We suggest considering a bet on total games over 21.5.

    Our choice
    Total Over (21.5) at odds of -152*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 March 2026, 09:34)

    Betting Tips: Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina

    Jessica Pegula has won the 2nd set
    pegula-jessicain last 5 matches.
    2nd Set Jessica Pegula Win
    +132
    Elena Rybakina has won the 1st set
    rybakina-elenain last 5 matches.
    1st Set Elena Rybakina Win
    Bovada
    -169
    Jessica Pegula has won
    pegula-jessicain 13 of last 14 matches.
    Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    +155
    Elena Rybakina has won
    rybakina-elenain 13 of last 15 matches.
    Elena Rybakina Win
    MyBookie
    -167
    View more facts