Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Elena Rybakina
KAZ
WTA - 2
2
:
1
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 5

Rybakina vs Pegula Prediction 25 March 2026

    KAZ
    Elena Rybakina
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    6
    6
    2
    6
    3
    4
    1

    🔊 The Miami Masters draw has pitted Jessica Pegula against Elena Rybakina in the quarterfinals. For the American, who needs to reach the final to defend her ranking points after last year's performance, this is not the most favorable scenario. This season, the players have clashed twice, with Rybakina emerging victorious on both occasions. Can Pegula break her losing streak in their head-to-head encounters? Let's evaluate her chances in our editorial prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The tennis players share a rich history of head-to-head encounters, having faced each other eight times. Rybakina holds the edge with five victories to three. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    67%
    6 Wins
    33%
    3 Wins
    25.03.26
    MIA
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    13.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    1
    6
    6
    7
    29.01.26
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    07.11.25
    WTA Finals Singles
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    1
    2
    6
    4
    4
    6
    3
    6
    18.09.25
    Fed Cup
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
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    Elena Rybakina Player Overview

    Elena Rybakina is on a roll on American soil, first reaching the final of the Indian Wells Masters, and now advancing to the quarterfinals of the current Miami Open without dropping a set. On hard courts, she showcases a formidable serve that boasts not only impressive power but also precision, hitting 75% of her serves in. This allows her to win 71% of points on her service games. Additionally, Elena has been highly successful against top-10 ranked players, defeating them in 5 of her last 7 encounters.

    Match Results: Elena Rybakina

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Veronika Erjavec
    Veronika Erjavec
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    W
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Karolina Pliskova
    Karolina Pliskova
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Alexandra Eala
    Alexandra Eala
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Jessica Pegula has been showcasing strong form throughout the season, suffering only three losses this year, two of which came against Rybakina. However, she hasn't been left without a major tournament victory, having claimed the title at the WTA 1000 event in Dubai. While Pegula's serve may not match up to her upcoming opponent's, despite her American tennis schooling, she tends to win points through resilience during long rallies with precise backcourt attacks. Yet, her recent encounters with top-5 opponents haven't gone her way, with five losses in her last six matches.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be intense, considering the current form of both players this season. However, the stats indicate Rybakina's superiority in head-to-head encounters as well as her overall performance against top-tier women's tennis players. Frankly, Elena's playing style is better suited for hard courts, even though Jess has reached her main achievements on this surface. Without underestimating the American's merits, we lean towards a victory for the Kazakh player, but we don't expect a blowout. Our bet: Rybakina handicap (-1.5).

    Our choice
    Elena Rybakina Handicap (-1.5) at odds of -159*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 March 2026, 13:45)

    Betting Tips: Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula

    Elena Rybakina has won the 1st set
    rybakina-elenain last 11 matches.
    1st Set Elena Rybakina Win
    Bovada
    -189
    Jessica Pegula has won
    pegula-jessicain 11 of last 12 matches.
    Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    +185
    Elena Rybakina has won
    rybakina-elenain 8 of last 9 matches.
    Elena Rybakina Win
    MyBookie
    +125
    Jessica Pegula has won the 2nd set
    pegula-jessicain 8 of last 9 matches.
    2nd Set Jessica Pegula Win
    +153
    View more facts