Brooksby vs Moutet Prediction 29 July 2026
🔊 Jenson Brooksby and Corentin Moutet are meeting for the first time, and they're doing it in Los Cabos. Neither has been at his best lately - both once ranked inside the top 40, both have slipped since. Moutet hasn't fallen as far; he's still there, just inside the top 40. Brooksby is 34 places behind him. One of them will show something closer to their old level on the Mexican courts.
Head-to-Head
📊 They've met once before - Corentin Moutet won that one. It was last year at the Toronto hard-court Masters. Moutet took it in straight sets.
Jenson Brooksby Player Overview
Four wins from his last ten. Brooksby is going through a rough stretch. The one bright spot was Wimbledon, where he reached the round of 16 before losing to eventual champion Jannik Sinner. On serve, he wins 77% of points - just above the ATP average, nothing more. His set win rate over recent matches sits at just 22%, and four of his six losses came without taking a set - a sign he's struggling to get games on the board.
Match Results: Jenson Brooksby
Corentin Moutet Player Overview
Moutet's run is even grimmer - two wins from his last ten. His hold rate is slightly better than his opponent's: 79%, but he's winning just 28% of sets. A six-match losing streak at its worst has done real damage to his confidence. That said, he took the last meeting between them, which gives him something to build on. Worth noting, though: Moutet's best surface is clay.
Match Results: Corentin Moutet
Key factors
- Corentin Moutet won their only previous meeting on hard court.
- Jenson Brooksby's form has been inconsistent, but Moutet has dropped more matches over the last ten games.
- Moutet is a clay specialist by nature, yet it's Brooksby who holds an ATP title on that surface.
Expected scenario
No clear favourite here - both players have been inconsistent, with momentum swings even within individual matches. A third set is possible, though not certain: neither has shown enough of an edge in the underlying numbers to close this out quickly.
⭐ Editorial prediction
Neither player arrives in top shape, but Jenson Brooksby has at least shown some flashes in recent months, something that can't be said about Corentin Moutet. Their only meeting went to the Frenchman on hard courts, though it's worth noting he's more of a clay specialist who still hasn't won a single ATP title. Brooksby has - he took the trophy in Houston last season. A natural hard-court player, he adapts well to different styles. Last year's loss shouldn't mislead anyone here. We're siding with the slight edge the odds give the American, Brooksby to win.
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Betting Tips: Jenson Brooksby - Corentin Moutet
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