Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
3
:
0
Ended
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 6

Alcaraz vs De Minaur Prediction 27 January 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    AUS
    Alex De Minaur
    7
    6
    6
    3
    5
    2
    1
    0

    🔊 In the Australian Open quarterfinals, Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur will face off. Ranked 1st and 6th in the world respectively, the Spaniard enters as the bookmakers' favorite. Both players are delivering impressive performances in this tournament, rightfully earning their spots in the later stages. We've crafted a prediction for the outcome of this clash, which you can find below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Alex de Minaur has proven to be a favorable opponent for Carlos Alcaraz, and the head-to-head statistics further support this - the Spanish tennis star has won all five of their encounters. Their most recent showdown took place at the ATP Finals in 2025, where Alcaraz triumphed over his rival in straight sets.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    6 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    27.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    3
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    6
    1
    09.11.25
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    2
    18.04.25
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    09.02.25
    Netherlands Rotterdam
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    2
    25.06.23
    Great Britain London
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Alcaraz, the ATP Tour leader, is aiming to solidify his position at the start of the season. The Australian Open hasn't been particularly kind to the Spaniard in recent years; he's consistently exited at the quarterfinal stage, first at the hands of Alexander Zverev and then Novak Djokovic. However, there's a silver lining-advancing further this year would earn Carlos a substantial boost in ranking points.

    🔔 In this year's tournament, Alcaraz has been in impressive form, not dropping a single set in four rounds. In the Round of 16, he faced American tennis player Tommy Paul. The match was intense, ending 3-0 (7-6, 6-4, 7-5) in favor of Alcaraz, taking him 2 hours and 38 minutes to secure victory. Notably, despite a high first serve percentage of 70%, Carlos managed just 2 aces.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    🎾 Despite being in the world’s top 10, De Minaur struggles to stand out due to fierce competition-his title count isn’t high, making every victory incredibly valuable. Alex’s best performance at the Australian Open was last year’s quarterfinal appearance, where he was halted by the eventual champion, Jannik Sinner.

    🔔 This year in Melbourne, De Minaur has been in fine form, dropping just one set in four matches. Even the 10th-ranked Alexander Bublik couldn’t challenge the Australian in their round of 16 clash, succumbing in straight sets (6-4, 6-1, 6-1). In that match, De Minaur delivered 6 aces but posted a modest first serve accuracy of 64%.

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    19.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    17.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    W
    16.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Gabriel Diallo
    Gabriel Diallo
    2
    0
    710
    68
    6
    3
    W
    14.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    3
    2
    6
    77
    65
    L
    13.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Adrian Mannarino
    Adrian Mannarino
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    4
    6
    0
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    Melbourne is currently experiencing intense heat, making the bounce off the hard court even more challenging, which favors players with powerful serves. In this aspect, De Minaur holds an advantage over Alcaraz, who is slightly less aggressive when serving. Given that the Spaniard faced difficulties in every set against Tommy Paul, he is likely to encounter similar challenges against Alex as well. We anticipate a closely contested match and recommend a handicap of (+6.5) on the Australian, who has been delivering outstanding tennis at this tournament.

    Our choice
    Alex De Minaur Handicap (+6,5) at odds of -139*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 January 2026, 01:18)

    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur has won:
    de-minaur-alexin 8 of last 9 matches (ATP Australian Open).
    Alex De Minaur Win
    Everygame
    +450
    Carlos Alcaraz has won (bo5 series):
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiade-minaur-alexin last 5 matches against Alex De Minaur.
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 24 of last 25 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 8 of last 9 matches (ATP Australian Open).
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    MyBookie
    -500
    Alex De Minaur has won the 1st set (bo5 series):
    de-minaur-alexin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    +230
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set (bo5 series):
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiade-minaur-alexin last 4 matches against Alex De Minaur.
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 14 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 9 matches (ATP Australian Open).
    1st Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -323
    View more facts