Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 10
05
:
34
:
01
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 3

De Minaur vs Alcaraz Prediction 1 November 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 The Vienna final will see Alex De Minaur take on Carlos Alcaraz - a true clash of ice and fire in the tennis world. On one side stands a player who chases down every ball and seems ready to run for days without tiring; on the other, an attacking genius who can finish points from anywhere on the court. With not just the title at stake but also a spot in the season finale, both are set to battle for every single point until the very end.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record is a nightmare for the Australian - Alcaraz leads 6-0. Stylistically, Carlos is a particularly tough match-up for Alex: the Spaniard consistently breaks through De Minaur’s deep defense and knows exactly how to put him under pressure.

    Head-to-head statistics De Minaur - Alcaraz

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    6 Wins
    27.09.26
    Laver Cup Exhibition
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    -
    -
    27.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    3
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    6
    1
    09.11.25
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    2
    18.04.25
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    09.02.25
    Netherlands Rotterdam
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    2
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    Alex De Minaur is arguably having his best week of the year, with a spot at the season-ending Finals in Turin on the line - so his motivation is through the roof. Everyone knows De Minaur is the Tour’s premier “runner,” but in Vienna he’s also showcased some real tactical intelligence, mixing up the pace at just the right moments. His semifinal against Zverev was pure madness - a two-and-a-half-hour thriller. Alex was on fire, chasing down seemingly lost causes, showing tremendous resilience, and ultimately snatching victory in a deciding-set tiebreak (6-4, 1-6, 7-6). Sure, he spent a ton of energy, but after comebacks like that, players often feel mentally invincible. He’s going to make Carlos Alcaraz work for every single point.

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    31.10.26
    Vienna
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    1
    64
    77
    W
    30.10.26
    Vienna
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    64
    77
    2
    6
    W
    28.10.26
    Vienna
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    26.10.26
    Vienna
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    15.10.26
    SHA
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    The Spaniard is currently playing like a tennis star without a single weakness. After lifting the trophy in Tokyo, he took a short break to nurse his wrist and arrived in Vienna looking fresher than ever-a rare luxury at the end of October. Carlos Alcaraz has been cruising through the draw as if there are no real challengers: he dispatches every opponent in straight sets without breaking a sweat. The slow local hard court suits his powerful groundstrokes perfectly - he pins rivals behind the baseline and dictates every rally. In the semifinal against Daniil Medvedev (6-4, 7-6), Alcaraz played with such composure and authority that it became clear: the Spaniard came here for the title, and he has no intention of letting it slip away.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    31.10.26
    Vienna
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    6
    7
    W
    30.10.26
    Vienna
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    62
    77
    W
    29.10.26
    Vienna
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    1
    6
    611
    713
    W
    27.10.26
    Vienna
    Karen Khachanov
    Karen Khachanov
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    65
    77
    W
    12.10.26
    SHA
    Zizou Bergs
    Zizou Bergs
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    2
    0
    7
    5
    77
    64
    L
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    Key factors

    • De Minaur has dropped two sets at this tournament, while Alcaraz remains unbeaten in sets.
    • In their head-to-head meetings, Carlos Alcaraz leads the series 6-0.
    • Alcaraz has not lost a set in their last three encounters.
    • Carlos Alcaraz has lost just one of his last 12 matches.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6-0, which shows he knows exactly how to break down Alex De Minaur’s defense and prevent him from dragging out rallies. The Spaniard has cruised through the draw, conserving plenty of energy, while De Minaur spent everything he had in a grueling three-set marathon against Zverev. The Australian is unlikely to keep up with Alcaraz’s relentless pace over the course of the match. Chances are fatigue will catch up with De Minaur in one of the sets, allowing Alcaraz to grab a couple of quick breaks and comfortably cover a 4-5 game spread. The pick: Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 games handicap.
    Carlos Alcaraz Handicap (-3,5)
    Odds-185
    Published: 01/11/2026, 05:55
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    1
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    1 prediction
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Alex De Minaur - Carlos Alcaraz

    Alex De Minaur has lost the 2nd set:
    de-minaur-alexcarlos-alcaraz-garfiain 5 of last 6 matches against Carlos Alcaraz.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 2nd set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 9 of last 10 matches.
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 4 matches (ATP Vienna).
    2nd Set Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    -312
    Alex De Minaur has lost the 1st set:
    de-minaur-alexcarlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 5 matches against Carlos Alcaraz.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 6 of last 7 matches.
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 4 matches (ATP Vienna).
    1st Set Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    Thunderpick
    -312
    Alex De Minaur has won:
    de-minaur-alexin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Alex De Minaur to Win
    Thunderpick
    +353
    Alex De Minaur has lost:
    de-minaur-alexcarlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 6 matches against Carlos Alcaraz.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 11 of last 12 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    Bovada
    -455
    View more facts