Alcaraz vs De Minaur Prediction 9 November 2025

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    AUS
    Alex De Minaur
    7
    6
    2
    6
    2
    0

    🔊 In the group stage of the men's ATP Finals currently taking place in Turin, Carlos Alcaraz will face off against Alex de Minaur. Ranked 2nd and 7th in the world respectively, the Spaniard enters this clash as the bookmakers' favorite. But can he truly demonstrate his superiority over his opponent on the court? Let's delve into the details.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur have faced each other four times, with the Spanish tennis player winning all encounters. Their most recent head-to-head took place on the clay courts of Barcelona this April, where Alcaraz defeated his opponent in straight sets, 2-0 (7-5, 6-3).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    6 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    27.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    3
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    6
    1
    09.11.25
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    2
    18.04.25
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    09.02.25
    Netherlands Rotterdam
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    2
    25.06.23
    Great Britain London
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Alcaraz is set to participate in the season-ending tournament for the third time in his career, with the previous two appearances ending without titles: in 2023, he was knocked out in the semifinals, and in 2024, he exited during the group stage. This season on indoor hard courts, Carlos has played 10 matches, winning seven of them.

    🔔 Alcaraz heads into this year's finals not in peak form, having suffered two consecutive defeats-an unusual occurrence for him. In mid-October, the Spaniard lost in the final of the exhibition tournament Six Kings Slam in Saudi Arabia to Jannik Sinner, 0-2 (2-6, 2-4). He then fell to Cameron Norrie in the second round in Paris, losing 1-2 (6-4, 3-6, 4-6).

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    🎾 Last year, De Minaur made his debut at the ATP Finals but couldn't progress beyond the group stage. This year, the Australian has shown solid form on indoor hard courts with 11 wins and 3 losses. On outdoor hard courts, Alex boasts 29 victories against 10 defeats.

    🔔 In the lead-up to the finals, De Minaur consistently reached the latter stages of tournaments. In Vienna, he advanced to the semifinals before being ousted by Jannik Sinner in straight sets, 0-2 (3-6, 4-6). In Paris, it was Kazakhstan's Alexander Bublik who halted Alex in the semifinals, winning 2-1 (7-6, 4-6, 5-7).

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    19.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    17.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    W
    16.06.26
    Great Britain London
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Gabriel Diallo
    Gabriel Diallo
    2
    0
    710
    68
    6
    3
    W
    14.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    1
    6
    3
    2
    6
    77
    65
    L
    13.06.26
    ATP S-Hertogenbosch
    Adrian Mannarino
    Adrian Mannarino
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    4
    6
    0
    6
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    In many aspects, Alcaraz appears stronger than his opponent, but it's undeniable that the Spanish tennis player has shown signs of fatigue as the season draws to a close. The last time Carlos suffered two consecutive defeats was back in March of this year, and now it's happening again. Considering Alex's solid performance towards the end of the year, we believe the Australian will put up a worthy fight and secure at least 11 games in this match.

    Our choice
    Alex De Minaur Total Over (10,5) at odds of -111*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 November 2025, 13:39)

    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur has lost:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiade-minaur-alexin last 4 matches against Carlos Alcaraz.
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -500
    Alex De Minaur has won the 1st set:
    de-minaur-alexin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    +230
    Carlos Alcaraz has won under 13.5 games:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 11 of last 12 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz Total Under (13,5)
    -238
    Alex De Minaur has won over 10.5 games:
    de-minaur-alexin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Alex De Minaur Total Over (10,5)
    +116
    View more facts

    Alcaraz - De Minaur Table position

    Tour Finals, Group A
    gWLForm
    1.
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    330
    2.
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    312
    3.
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    312
    4.
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    312