Sabalenka vs Keys Prediction 25 January 2025

Is there a clear favorite in the decisive stage of the Australian Open clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys? The key question we face in the prediction. In the new season, both ladies have already won a major trophy (Brisbane and Adelaide respectively), indicating their excellent physical condition and maximum fighting spirit.

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka is the reigning champion of the competition, which in itself is a motivating factor. Aryna's path to defending the title was not easy. However, she only lost a set to Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. Today, the Belarusian demolished Paula Badosa in 87 minutes, focusing on a solid serve (one break and seven points lost on her opening attempt). Now, the athlete will definitely not leave the leading spot in the world rankings in the foreseeable future, which surely adds confidence in her own abilities.

Madison Keys

Keys emerged victorious from several three-set thrillers in a row, sending Elina Svitolina, Elena Rybakina, and Iga Swiatek packing. In total, Madison recorded 112 actively won points, as well as making 113 unforced errors. Previously, the American had never achieved the maximum result at majors, only reaching the final of the US Open. The tennis player definitely deserved to achieve the most significant feat in her career. Especially considering that almost the entire year of 2024 was overshadowed by severe injuries.

Editorial Prediction

In this match, Keys, in our opinion, will provide worthy resistance to Sabalenka. Since their recent head-to-head battle at the Beijing 1000 (6-4; 6-3), Madison has transformed beyond recognition, and we believe that this time she will pose more serious challenges to Aryna. A victory for the US representative with a handicap of +4.5 is our preferred option for the match.