Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Andrey Rublev
RUS
ATP - 14

Alcaraz vs Rublev Prediction 20 February 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    RUS
    Andrey Rublev
    77
    6
    2
    63
    4
    0

    🔊 In the first semifinal of the men's tennis tournament in Doha, Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev are set to clash. Ranked 1st and 14th in the ATP standings respectively, the bookmakers have little doubt about the Spaniard's chances of success. Let's delve deeper into this matchup and provide an insightful prediction for its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev have faced each other six times, with the Spanish player leading the head-to-head 4-2. Their most recent encounter took place on the hard courts in Cincinnati, where Alcaraz emerged victorious in a hard-fought three-set match.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    71%
    5 Wins
    29%
    2 Wins
    20.02.26
    DOH
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    4
    15.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    4
    5
    7
    06.07.25
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    3
    7
    6
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    13.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    01.05.24
    Spain, Madrid
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    2
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Alcaraz has only competed in Doha once before, and it wasn't a memorable outing as he bowed out in the quarterfinals. However, this time around, Carlos has already secured a positive ranking point balance regardless of the outcome of his upcoming match. This season, Carlos remains unbeaten, boasting an 11-match winning streak.

    🔔 In this tournament, the Spanish tennis star faced little resistance until the quarterfinal stage, where he had to rally after dropping a set to Karen Khachanov. Ultimately, that encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for him (6-7, 6-4, 6-3). In his previous match, Carlos recorded 8 aces, with his first serve landing successfully 70% of the time.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Andrey Rublev Player Overview

    🎾 Rublev has a knack for performing in Doha, especially as he enters this tournament as the reigning champion. Last year, he triumphed over Jack Draper in a three-set final. This season, the Russian boasts a solid record with seven wins and two losses.

    🔔 In this year's Doha tournament, Rublev has yet to drop a set, confidently advancing through the three rounds. In the quarterfinals, Andrey overcame the resilient Greek, Stefanos Tsitsipas, with a 2-0 victory (6-3, 7-6). While his first serve wasn't particularly accurate at 61%, his ability to win points on it demonstrates his consistency (79%).

    Match Results: Andrey Rublev

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    3
    2
    6
    3
    78
    66
    4
    6
    2
    6
    6
    3
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Nuno Borges
    Nuno Borges
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    0
    3
    5
    7
    62
    77
    62
    77
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    1
    6
    6
    1
    3
    6
    65
    77
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Ignacio Buse
    Ignacio Buse
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    3
    6
    78
    66
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
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    Editor's Prediction

    Despite the difference in rankings, Rublev is in such form that he's ready to challenge Alcaraz, especially as the latter is quite fatigued after an extended run at the Australian Open. Doha has been favorable for Andrey, having previously won this tournament, so we're suggesting a bet on the +4.5 handicap for the Russian tennis player.

    Our choice
    Andrey Rublev Handicap (+4.5) at odds of -109*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 February 2026, 21:39)

    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Andrey Rublev

    Andrey Rublev has won the 2nd set
    rublev-andreyin 7 of last 8 matches.
    2nd Set Andrey Rublev Win
    +290
    Andrey Rublev has won
    rublev-andreyin 7 of last 8 matches.
    rublev-andreyin last 5 matches (ATP Doha).
    Andrey Rublev Win
    Bovada
    +500
    Andrey Rublev has won the 1st set
    rublev-andreyin last 5 matches (ATP Doha).
    1st Set Andrey Rublev Win
    Bovada
    +275
    Over 17.5 games
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 6 of last 7 Carlos Alcaraz games.
    rublev-andreyin last 8 Andrey Rublev games.
    rublev-andreyin last 5 Andrey Rublev games (ATP Doha).
    Total Over (17.5)
    -
    View more facts