Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Andrey Rublev
RUS
ATP - 11
1
:
2
Ended
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 2

Rublev vs Alcaraz Prediction 15 August 2025

    RUS
    Andrey Rublev
    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    3
    6
    5
    1
    6
    4
    7
    2

    🔊 In the final quarter-final of the men's draw at the Cincinnati tennis tournament, Andrey Rublev will face Carlos Alcaraz. The Spanish player is the bookmakers' favorite in this clash. Can the Russian tennis star challenge the World No. 2? Let's delve into this match in more detail. Read on for an in-depth analysis and prediction of the outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz have faced off five times before, with the Spaniard leading the head-to-head 3-2. Their most recent encounter was at this season's Wimbledon, where Alcaraz emerged victorious with a 3-1 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    2 Wins
    71%
    5 Wins
    20.02.26
    DOH
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    4
    15.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    4
    5
    7
    06.07.25
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    3
    7
    6
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    13.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    01.05.24
    Spain, Madrid
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    2
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    Andrey Rublev Player Overview

    Rublev has gained solid momentum in the latter half of the season, delivering increasingly impressive performances from tournament to tournament. On hard courts this year, Andrey has recorded 13 wins and 8 losses. It could have been better, considering his high ranking as the world No. 11, but a disappointing mid-season stint (Dubai, Indian Wells, Miami) dented his stats.

    In Cincinnati, Rublev defeated Tien, Popyrin, and Comesana. In his most recent match against the Argentine, Andrey needed just 1 hour and 5 minutes to secure victory, wrapping up the encounter in straight sets (6-2, 6-3). The Russian was dominant with his first serve, landing 68% of them and firing off 8 aces.

    Match Results: Andrey Rublev

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    3
    2
    6
    3
    78
    66
    4
    6
    2
    6
    6
    3
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Nuno Borges
    Nuno Borges
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    0
    3
    5
    7
    62
    77
    62
    77
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    1
    6
    6
    1
    3
    6
    65
    77
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Ignacio Buse
    Ignacio Buse
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    3
    6
    78
    66
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    Alcaraz hardly needs an introduction, but let's recap his hard court stats for this season-13 wins and 4 losses. Before the Cincinnati tournament, Carlos took a month off from official matches, having expended significant energy at Wimbledon.

    In this tournament, the Spaniard only played three sets in his opening match against Dzumhur, while managing to win in straight sets in the subsequent rounds. In his latest match against Italy's Luca Nardi, Alcaraz conceded just 5 games. His first serve landed 65% of the time, and Carlos won 83% of points on it.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    Both players have been impressive in this tournament, showcasing a similar style of tennis with long rallies and smart combinations. In Cincinnati, Rublev's serve has been on point and should be his main weapon against the Spaniard. Andrey is in excellent physical shape and certainly won't be an easy opponent in this match-up. The game is likely to be evenly matched in terms of games won, so we're backing the Russian with a handicap advantage. Our bet is Rublev with a +4.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Andrey Rublev Handicap (+4.5) at odds of -145*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 August 2025, 08:29)

    Betting Tips: Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz

    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 14 matches.
    1st Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -323
    Andrey Rublev has won the 2nd set
    rublev-andreyin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Andrey Rublev Win
    Bovada
    +225
    Andrey Rublev has won
    rublev-andreyin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Andrey Rublev Win
    Bovada
    +350
    Carlos Alcaraz has won
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 23 of last 24 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -455
    View more facts