Surface:
Grass
Round:
1/8
Andrey Rublev
RUS
ATP - 14
1
:
3
Ended
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 2

Rublev vs Alcaraz Prediction 6 July 2025

    RUS
    Andrey Rublev
    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    7
    3
    4
    4
    1
    6
    6
    6
    6
    3

    🔊Andrey Rublev is set for a crucial match from a psychological standpoint. His opponent couldn't be tougher - Carlos Alcaraz. It's safe to say few believe in the Russian's chances. This is Wimbledon, the Round of 16. Our editorial team offers their prediction for the encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    Both players have claimed two victories. However, one of Rublev's wins came at an exhibition tournament.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    2 Wins
    71%
    5 Wins
    20.02.26
    DOH
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    4
    15.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    4
    5
    7
    06.07.25
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    3
    7
    6
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    13.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    01.05.24
    Spain, Madrid
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    2
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    Andrey Rublev Player Overview

    There's much to be said about Andrey. The Russian is a complex figure. It's not about scandals; it's more about his tennis. In moments of emotion, he's been known to smash rackets, gesture at the crowd, and even shed tears. These days, such incidents have become rare as the player works closely with a psychologist, and we've hardly seen any outbursts of aggression lately. However, his results haven't significantly improved.

    He's made it to yet another second week of a Slam. But let's be honest, he hasn't faced any truly formidable opponents yet. He dropped a set each to Djere and Harris, but his margin for error was enormous. Against Mannarino, he secured a straight-sets victory: Andrey surrendered just one service game, and that was in the third set. He dominated on return and served up plenty of aces. The only concern is that the Frenchman had 10 break points.

    Match Results: Andrey Rublev

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    3
    2
    6
    3
    78
    66
    4
    6
    2
    6
    6
    3
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Nuno Borges
    Nuno Borges
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    0
    3
    5
    7
    62
    77
    62
    77
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    1
    6
    6
    1
    3
    6
    65
    77
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Ignacio Buse
    Ignacio Buse
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    3
    6
    78
    66
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    Writing about the current tennis leaders can be challenging. Both Carlos and Jannik Sinner have relatively straightforward draws. There's hardly any intrigue. The Spaniard is cruising through Wimbledon in first gear and seems likely to shift up only in the decisive stages.

    Let's get straight to the match against Struff. Carlitos inevitably had to drop a set to this tricky opponent, and he did just that. Maintaining head-to-head stats is still important. However, the Spaniard didn't face any real issues; although he lost two service games, his opponent struggled more with double faults than capitalizing on opportunities. Alcaraz's level of play in this match could be rated at about 50%. We all know he is capable of much better.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    This Wimbledon has already delivered plenty of surprises, but it's wise not to gamble your money recklessly here. This match isn't the place for that risk. Alcaraz is set to claim victory as Rublev struggles with the psychological aspect of the game. Indeed, the Russian's issues are mental. As for betting options, we recommend going for over 34.5 games total. This could be a winner even in three sets, considering Rublev's ability to hold his serve, and if he manages to take a set, it would be even better.

    Our choice
    Total Over (34.5) at odds of -115*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 July 2025, 07:06)

    Betting Tips: Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz

    Carlos Alcaraz has won
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 17 matches (Great Britain, Wimbeldon (ATP)).
    Carlos Alcaraz has won (bo5 series)
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 10 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -1111
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set (bo5 series)
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 13 of last 15 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 4 matches (Great Britain, Wimbeldon (ATP)).
    1st Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -385
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 3rd set
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 6 matches (Great Britain, Wimbeldon (ATP)).
    3rd Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    -417
    Andrey Rublev has won the 2nd set
    rublev-andreyin last 4 matches (Great Britain, Wimbeldon (ATP)).
    2nd Set Andrey Rublev Win
    Bovada
    +300
    View more facts