Wanderers vs Penarol Prediction 26 April 2026

    ⚡️ The upcoming clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Peñarol promises to be tactically intriguing. Montevideo Wanderers, currently sitting in 12th place, are eager to climb the standings following a string of losses. Meanwhile, Peñarol, holding the 3rd spot, have shown more consistent form and aim to solidify their position at the top of the table. Both teams exhibit different styles of play: the hosts often concede goals, while the visitors boast a solid defensive record.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (with Peñarol as the home side):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4.

    📊Analytical review of the previous official matches between Montevideo Wanderers and Peñarol:

    • 40 matches played;
    • home team victories - 7, away team victories - 23, draws - 10;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 32 to 61;
    • average total goals per match - 2.33.

    Head-to-head statistics Wanderers - Penarol

    19%
    8 Wins
    24%
    10 Draws
    57%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Total Goals Avg
    2.38
    Both teams scored
    43%
    0.81
    Total average
    1.57
    2.5
    Yellow cards
    1.74
    Last matches
    05.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    3
    19.10.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    22.06.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    2
    19.04.25
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    0.08
    0.5
    0
    8
    0
    0
    4
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.08
    0.5
    0
    8
    0
    0
    4
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Montevideo Wanderers Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home side and Montevideo Wanderers as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here's the match statistics (Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso):

    • possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corners: 5 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 3.

    Montevideo Wanderers are going through a tough period, having suffered three defeats in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess is underwhelming, averaging just one goal per game. Defensively, they struggle as well, conceding nearly two goals per match. However, they are motivated to break free from the relegation zone and improve their standing in the league.

    Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

    Last matches
    28.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    05.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament (home team: Peñarol, visitors: Juventud de Las Piedras). The encounter ended in a 2-2 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Juventud de Las Piedras):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 5.

    Peñarol have been delivering a solid performance throughout the season. With six wins out of eleven matches, they currently hold the third spot in the standings. The team is noted for their strong defense, particularly on the road, with three consecutive clean sheets highlighting their discipline and organization at the back. Their attack is equally consistent, averaging around 1.4 goals per game.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    4
    8
    2
    6
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    8
    2
    6
    2
    5
    W
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    D
    16.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    05.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    01.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 40;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 23, draws - 10.

    Statistics: Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol Montevideo

    • matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • wins: 3 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 27% vs 55%;
    • losses: 6 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 4;
    • losses: 6 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Montevideo Wanderers have not won in 14 of last 15 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    • Montevideo Wanderers have not won in 8 of last 9 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    • Montevideo Wanderers have not won in 13 of last 15 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo will not lose (odds: 1.16)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.8, the guests - 1.53;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.33;
    • both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 9.

    Statistics: Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol Montevideo

    • average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 2.45;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.45;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.45 vs 0.64;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.55 vs 0.82;
    • Montevideo Wanderers: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have not conceded in last 3 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Montevideo Wanderers will not score goal (odds: 2)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 40;
    • both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 9 times.

    Statistics: Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol Montevideo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Montevideo Wanderers at home - 2 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Montevideo Wanderers at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.73)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (15/90, 16.7%);
    • Montevideo Wanderers at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:4 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 3:0 (1/5, 20%);
    • Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:2 (2/3, 66.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 14.78% (odds 6)
    0:2 - 11.8% (odds 7)
    1:1 - 11.33% (odds 7)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing current trends and team form, opting for under 2.5 goals seems preferable for this match. Despite Montevideo Wanderers' tendency for high-scoring games at home, Peñarol are renowned for their solid defense on the road - their last seven away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Therefore, a more defensive game with few goals is anticipated.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-145
    Published: 25/04/2026, 09:37

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    Betting Tips: Montevideo Wanderers - Penarol Montevideo

    Montevideo Wanderers have not won:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin 14 of last 15 games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin 8 of last 9 home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 13 of last 15 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    -625
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin 20 of last 21 Montevideo Wanderers games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin 10 of last 11 Montevideo Wanderers home games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 8 of last 9 Montevideo Wanderers games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 6 of last 7 Penarol Montevideo games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -500
    Penarol Montevideo have scored under 2.5 goals:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin 10 of last 11 away games against Montevideo Wanderers (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 12 of last 13 games.
    ca-penarolin last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Total goals Under (2,5)
    -417
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcca-penarolin last 5 Montevideo Wanderers games against Penarol Montevideo (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 7 of last 8 Montevideo Wanderers home games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin last 8 Penarol Montevideo games.
    ca-penarolin last 6 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    in 7 of last 8 Leodan Frankin Gonzalez Cabrera games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -312
    View more facts

    Wanderers - Penarol Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583423-1627
    5.
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1573523-2224
    9.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1555520-1820
    10.
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1562716-2120
    11.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1546517-2118

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 15
    +1
    +11
    16 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    16
    15
    Conceded
    5
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    6
    Both teams scored
    3
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats