Lorient vs Brest Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 November 2026
🔊 The Breton derby brings together two contrasting sides. Lorient's Ligue 1 matches have seen just 13 goals combined over eight rounds, with the hosts keeping three consecutive clean sheets. Stade Brest, meanwhile, have conceded in 17 straight games, but they've also found the net in nine of their last ten outings. Which streak will come to an end on Monday?
Head-to-Head
📊 Lorient have found the net against this opponent in 14 of their last 15 home head-to-heads. However, keeping a clean sheet has been a rare feat for the hosts-Stade Brest have scored in seven of their last eight visits. The most striking example came in October 2025, when both sides put three goals past each other. In February, Stade Brest claimed victory on home turf and kept a clean sheet.
Head-to-head statistics Lorient - Brest
Lorient: rock-solid defense and narrow victories
Lorient have built their campaign on defensive solidity. Alongside Lille, they boast the best defensive record in Ligue 1-just six goals conceded and five clean sheets in eight matches. Their goal has remained untouched for 303 minutes. Offensively, however, they’ve been less impressive, netting only seven times-only Troyes have scored fewer. All three of Lorient’s wins have come by the narrowest of margins: on October 18, a penalty from Noha Kadewere was the lone goal in their clash with Monaco.
Manager Alexandre Dujeux arrived this summer from Angers, where he spent five years, three as head coach. On October 25, he returned to his former club as an opponent. “It was tough to go back; I was a little apprehensive,” he admitted after the goalless draw. Lorient’s defence held firm once again, with goalkeeper Yvon Mvogo making five saves. With 12 points, Dujeux’s side sit tenth in the table, level with ninth-placed Marseille.
Match Results: Lorient
Stade Brest: Both Sides Score in Frustrating Night Against Nice
Stade Brest's matches are never short on excitement. Over eight rounds, they have netted 14 goals-remarkably, nine of those have come from set pieces, the highest tally across Europe’s top five leagues. Yet, Brest have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Their standout performance came on October 10, when Stade Brest routed Angers 5-1. However, since that emphatic win, they have gone two games without a victory. In the league standings, Stade Brest sit 13th with nine points-three fewer than Lorient.
Their latest setback was particularly painful. On October 23, Stade Brest fell 2-1 at home to Nice, despite leading at halftime thanks to a goal from Ludovic Ajorque. To add to their woes, the striker missed a penalty in the dying moments. “It feels a bit harsh on us,” admitted head coach Julien Lachuer. Midfielder Hugo Magnetti was even more direct: “When you don’t win, you end up repeating the same things.”
Match Results: Stade Brest
Latest news
Lorient
❓ Panos Katseris will miss the game with muscle tightness. Mohamed Bamba and Semedo are doubts, as are Bandiougou Fadiga and Noah Mbamba, who are both dealing with hamstring problems.
Stade Brest
❓ Brest will be without Diop, Raphael Le Guen, who is still recovering from a broken fibula, and defender Brendan Chardonnet, who has a sore calf. Giovani Versini, who has a lower-leg injury, and Romain Cagnon are doubts.
Probable Lineups
📋Lorient’s projected starting XI: Mvogo - Adjei, Talbi, Toure - Sylla, Cadiou, Avom, Kouassi - Bernardeau, Makengo - Balde.
📋 Stade Brest’s projected starting XI: Selvik - Lala, Tousart, Lloris, Locko - Chotard, Magnetti - Balde, Doumbia, Mboup - Ajorque.
Total Goals Prediction
Lorient have scored more than one goal in just one of their last nine Ligue 1 outings. Régis Le Bris’s side only managed to find the net twice in a single match once this season, and that was against Toulouse. Stade Brest have yet to keep a clean sheet this campaign, but in half of their Ligue 1 fixtures, they have conceded exactly one goal. We expect Lorient to score just once here. The pick: Lorient under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.55*.
Corners Prediction
Lorient have failed to win more than five corners at home in 14 of their last 15 Ligue 1 fixtures. Over their last ten official matches, Lorient have taken just 34 corners, while their opponents have racked up 53. Even when hosting Monaco and Paris, Lorient managed only three corners in each match. It's hard to see them reaching a sixth corner on Monday. The pick: Lorient under 5.5 corners at odds of 1.56*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Stade Brest have picked up more than two yellow cards in just one of their last 15 matches. Away from home in Ligue 1, they have stayed under three bookings for seven consecutive fixtures. Over their past 10 competitive games, Brest have received 13 yellow cards, while their opponents have collected 17. The only time they went over the limit was on October 23 against Nice, when they were shown three yellows. We expect the visitors to keep their discipline in Lorient and stay under two bookings. The bet here is on Stade Brest individual yellow cards under 2.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
📌 Editorial Prediction
Stade Brest have both scored and conceded in nine of their last ten matches-a trend that rarely changes, especially away from home, where they've managed just one clean sheet in their last 19 outings. Lorient, meanwhile, have found the net in 20 of their last 21 Ligue 1 home games. The hosts are on a run of three consecutive clean sheets, but that streak is likely to end against Stade Brest. The smart bet here is on both teams to score. Our predicted scoreline: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Lorient - Stade Brest
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