Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Burnley go into this match against Portsmouth on the back of a prolonged poor run and with plenty riding on the result in the table. The hosts are in the relegation zone, where every game matters for picking up points. Portsmouth, meanwhile, sit closer to mid-table but retain an interest in the promotion race. The contrast between Burnley's difficulties and the visitors' more consistent results makes the outcome of this game hard to predict.
Head-to-Head Equality
Portsmouth and Burnley drew 0-0 in their Championship match. Burnley had more possession and more shots on target - 6 to 3 - but Portsmouth, with a nearly equal number of shots overall, created more chances by xG: 1.18 to 0.76.
🔊 In three official meetings, Burnley and Portsmouth have one win each and one draw, with an aggregate score of 2-2. Both of Burnley's goals came in the second half; the one match played at Portsmouth's ground ended goalless.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Portsmouth
Burnley: a side that concedes a lot
Burnley lost their previous Championship match away to Lincoln City, 1-4. After a level first half at 1-1, the hosts scored three more times. Despite equal possession, Burnley were well short on shots: 8 against 21.
Burnley are struggling at both ends of the pitch. Over their last ten matches they have won just once, losing five and drawing four, and are conceding an average of 2 goals per game. They are scoring 1.4 goals per match - the attack is not without threat, but defensive reliability remains a clear weakness. Two consecutive defeats suggest the team have yet to find a way to stabilise their results, despite the obvious motivation that comes with being in the relegation zone.
Match Results: Burnley
Portsmouth: the better results
Portsmouth beat Millwall 2-1 at home in their last Championship match. The teams were level at 1-1 at half-time. Millwall had more shots - 10 to 7 - but Portsmouth converted both of their shots on target into goals.
Portsmouth have shown more balanced numbers: four wins from their last ten matches, with three defeats, has kept them not far off the upper reaches of the table. They are averaging 1.2 goals per game, while conceding just over one - which makes them competitive even away from home. In terms of their league position, they are still some way off automatic promotion, but matches against lower-table sides give them an opportunity to improve their standing.
Match Results: Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Burnley have won just one of their last 27 matches. At home this season they have no wins at all: four draws and two defeats in six games. Portsmouth away from home have won twice, drawn twice and lost twice. We are therefore going with Portsmouth not to lose at 1.65*.
Goals prediction / Total
In 12 consecutive Burnley matches, both teams scored at least two goals. In their home matches this season, Burnley average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Meanwhile, in Portsmouth's last five away matches the total has stayed under 3.5, which is consistent with the selected line. We're backing Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.30*.
Corners Prediction
Burnley have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in six of their last seven home matches. In a broader sample, the team failed to reach 6.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 matches, though that is a different line and not a direct confirmation of the selected threshold. The home run is most relevant to the upcoming match: Burnley Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.75*.
Both Teams to Score prediction
Burnley have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches. On top of that, they have conceded at home in 18 of their last 19 matches and have scored in 12 consecutive matches. However, Portsmouth are averaging just 0.6 goals per game in their last ten away matches, so their scoring is far from guaranteed. We're going with Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75*.
Reliable Bet
Burnley have scored fewer than three goals in 23 of their last 24 matches. Their average goals scored at home this season is 1.33, and 1.2 across their last ten home matches. We're going with Burnley Team Total - Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.17%), 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The highest probability among these options belongs to 1-1, with the other two results ranked in the order listed.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The data points to a clear tendency from Burnley towards open football with frequent goal exchanges - in almost all of their recent matches, both teams have found the net at both ends. Even under relegation pressure, the hosts are capable of scoring at home, but their defence regularly breaks down against opponents at any level. Portsmouth also have a consistent attack and can take advantage of Burnley's defensive errors through their own effectiveness up front. The editorial's main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Portsmouth
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