Stoke City vs Preston Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
The table situation underlines what is at stake for both sides: Stoke City remain close to the automatic promotion places, while Preston North End sit bottom and are trying to climb out of the relegation zone. On current form, the hosts look the more assured side - they have won six of their last ten matches with two defeats, whereas Preston have managed just one win and suffered seven losses in the same period. That contrast makes each team's motivation clear enough from the outset.
Preston's Advantage
Preston North End beat Stoke City 3-1 in their most recent Championship head-to-head meeting. The score was level at 1-1 at half-time, and the two sides were equal on total shots (13-13). Preston North End had a notable xG advantage, however - 1.91 to 0.63.
📊 Preston North End have the edge in 28 official meetings with Stoke City: 12 wins to 6, with 10 draws. The goal difference also favours them - 37:25. At Stoke City's ground, half of the matches have ended in a draw - 7 of the 14.
Head-to-head statistics Stoke City - Preston
Stoke City: a confident run
Stoke City's last Championship match ended in a 0-0 home draw with Bristol City. Stoke had 64% possession and attempted more shots (11-8), but managed only one on target.
Stoke City are going through a strong run, winning four of their last five matches and dropping points just once. Over their last ten games, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded - a consistent attacking output combined with a relatively solid defensive record by the standards of the league. Worth noting is that the club has moderate motivation in terms of the table: they sit three points off the automatic promotion places, but with a large portion of the season still to go, they are more focused on consolidating their position without taking unnecessary risks.
Match Results: Stoke City
Preston North End: Poor Form
Preston North End's last Championship match ended 1-1 at home to West Bromwich Albion. Despite having just 28% possession, they were almost level with their opponents in shots - 19 to 20 - but managed only one goal from four shots on target.
Preston North End are going through a difficult spell: just one win from their last ten matches, with seven defeats, points to serious problems in their game. The visitors are averaging just 0.8 goals per match while conceding an average of two - their defence looks vulnerable against almost any opponent. Their league position means Preston need to be picking up points right now: they need to cut the gap to the safety zone to at least a minimum to keep their survival hopes alive heading into the end of the season.
Match Results: Preston North End
Match Result Prediction
Preston North End have covered the handicap (+1.5) in 13 of their last 14 away head-to-head meetings. However, this season they have lost five of their six away matches and have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last ten away fixtures. The head-to-head record supports the bet, but their current away form limits confidence: we're going with Preston North End Handicap +1.5 at 1.38*.
Goals Prediction / Total
Total Goals - Over 2.5 landed in 9 of Preston North End's last 10 away matches. Over those ten away games, Preston conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Stoke City scored an average of 1.8 per game in their last ten home matches. At the same time, 12 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these sides had fewer than 3.5 goals, which narrows the range of likely scorelines. We're going with Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.86*.
Corners Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 home matches, Stoke City have seen fewer than 10.5 corners. On top of that, Stoke City have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 home games, while Preston North End have taken fewer than 4.5 in 6 of their last 7 matches. These trends support Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.9*.
Reliable Bet
In 17 of their last 19 home matches, Stoke City games have produced more than 1.5 goals. In their last ten home matches, Stoke City have averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Preston North End have averaged 2.6 goals conceded in their last ten away matches. We're going with Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.28*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (12.34%), 1-1 (10.54%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The highest probability among them belongs to 1-0. The difference between the first and third options is 3.23 percentage points.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The two sides come into this match in contrasting form: Stoke City have been picking up points steadily thanks to a balanced attack and defence, while Preston are forced to play aggressively in an attempt to pull themselves out of a difficult run, despite their poor form. The trend of over 2.5 goals in nine of Preston's last ten away matches is backed up by their defensive problems and their tendency to concede even against solid opponents. The home side's form also points towards a high-scoring outcome - their attack regularly produces at least one or two goals per game. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Stoke City - Preston North End
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