Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
📢 Ajax are continuing their push for the top of the Eredivisie table, currently sitting in second place. The hosts are in good form, having won six of their last ten matches. AZ are fifth and remain in contention for a Champions League place, separated from that position by a small number of points. The visitors have also been putting up decent results, winning five of their previous ten matches. Given the two sides' league positions and current form, this looks like being one of the more interesting fixtures of the round.
Head-to-Head
AZ and Ajax drew 1-1 in their Eredivisie meeting on 08 February 2026. Ajax had 62% possession and launched 71 dangerous attacks to AZ's 30, but managed only two shots on target. AZ had six shots on target.
In 47 official meetings, Ajax have won 21 times, AZ have won 17, and nine matches have ended in a draw. Ajax also lead on goals scored: 83-64.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - AZ Alkmaar
Three wins in a row and almost three goals per game
Ajax's most recent Eredivisie match saw them win 2:1 away at Sparta (25 October 2026). All three goals were scored before half-time; Ajax also had the better of the shot count, 16:11.
Ajax sit second in the table with 21 points and continue to chase the Eredivisie leaders. They go into this match in good form, having won three games in a row and consolidated their position near the top. Their main strength remains a potent attack, which has averaged 2.8 goals per game over their last ten matches. Defensively they have been reasonably solid too, conceding 1.3 per game. That combination has allowed Ajax to pick up results consistently and keep their title chances alive.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Balanced display
AZ's last Eredivisie match was a home defeat to Twente, losing 2-0 (25 October 2026). The score was level at 0-0 at half-time, and both sides finished level on shots on target at 5-5. Twente's xG was considerably higher, though: 2.39 against 1.06.
AZ sit fifth in the table with 20 points, though the congestion at the top of the league means they can realistically move up quickly. They are just one point behind second place, which gives the upcoming match against Ajax added significance. Across their last ten matches, AZ have won five, drawn two and lost three. Their attack has been reasonably productive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while the defence has been conceding 1.3. Those numbers have kept them competitive even against stronger opposition.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Latest news
Ajax Amsterdam
❌ Ajax have several injury concerns ahead of their clash with AZ Alkmaar. Anton Gaaei and Kasper Dolberg are unavailable, with Dolberg ruled out for the rest of the season. Caio Henrique is close to returning, while Steven Berghuis has already resumed training, although his availability for the upcoming match remains uncertain.
AZ Alkmaar
❌ AZ Alkmaar also face several personnel problems. Ayoub Oufkir is suspended, while Kees Smit and Stije Resink are unavailable due to injuries. Jizz Hornkamp remains doubtful, although he is approaching full fitness.
Match Result Prediction
AZ have covered the handicap (+1.5) in five consecutive away head-to-head matches. This season Ajax have won just one of their five home matches, while AZ have won three of their five away matches. That said, Ajax have gone unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 league matches, so the visitors' advantage should not be overstated. We're going with AZ Handicap +1.5 at 1.49*.
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Under 10.5 has landed in six of Ajax's last seven home matches. In seven consecutive head-to-head meetings, the two sides have also combined for fewer than 9.5 corners. The caveat is that AZ have taken more than 4.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 matches. Taking that conflict into account, we're going with Total Corners - Under 10.5 at odds of 1.70*.
Safer Bet
AZ have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in six of their last seven matches. Across their last ten away matches, they averaged 1.8 goals per game, while Ajax have conceded an average of 1.4 per game in their last ten home matches. We're going with AZ Team Total - Under 2.5 at 1.12*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 2:1 (9.31%), 1:1 (8.04%) and 2:2 (6.63%). Our predicted score is 3:2.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Ajax are considered favourites, but AZ are in decent form and capable of putting up a serious fight. The recent match statistics for the hosts also point towards a high-scoring game. At least three goals were scored in 12 of Ajax's last 14 matches. AZ also have a strong attacking threat and are unlikely to sit back and defend exclusively. The editors' main prediction is Total Goals - Over 3.
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Betting Tips: Ajax Amsterdam - AZ Alkmaar
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