Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction 16 March 2025
📢 In the upcoming Eredivisie match, where Ajax will face AZ Alkmaar, we are in for a clash between two teams that have recently concluded their performances in the UEFA Europa League. Both teams are in excellent form, promising an intriguing encounter. Ajax, playing on their home turf, aims to strengthen their position in the standings, while AZ Alkmaar hopes to continue their successful away game streak. Statistics show that the hosts are traditionally strong at home, but the visitors are not planning to give in easily. A tense game with many moments is expected, where every mistake could be decisive.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between Ajax and AZ:
- 43 matches played;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 15, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 80 against 53;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.09, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in a match - 3.09.
The last game took place on 14 January 2025 at AZ's field and ended with a score of 2:0.
Head-to-head statistics Ajax - AZ Alkmaar

Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
Ajax, known for their attacking prowess, continues to dominate in the Eredivisie. The team, often referred to as "Jews," occupies the first place in the standings, showcasing consistent results. In the last 10 matches, Ajax has secured 7 victories, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game. They are particularly dangerous at their home stadium, winning 12 out of the last 13 matches. However, despite their powerful attack, in head-to-head encounters with AZ, the Amsterdam team does not always show their best performance. A crucial factor will be their ability to control the ball and create chances against a strong opponent's defense.
On Thursday, the "Jews" lost a challenging away match to Eintracht in the Europa League with a score of 1-4 and were eliminated from the tournament. A total of 33,935,000 euros was earned. Now they can focus on the national championship and further strengthen their top position. It is evident that the team likes to dominate, play as the main force, and will likely come out again with a 4-3-3 formation. Francesco Farioli's squad performed well in the last two rounds of the Eredivisie, winning with the same score of 1-0 against Almere City and Zwolle.
Important players remain in Ajax's infirmary: defender Owen Wijndal and forward Wout Weghorst.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
AZ Alkmaar, nicknamed "the Cheese Farmers," is in excellent form and ready to challenge Ajax. In the last 10 matches, they have secured 7 victories and suffered only two defeats. Their average scoring rate is 1.9 goals per game, making them one of the most prolific teams in the league. AZ also shows confident results on the road, scoring in 26 of the last 27 away matches. Historically, in head-to-head encounters with Ajax, they have repeatedly proven their competitiveness. The strategy will be based on quick counterattacks and exploiting weaknesses in the hosts' defense.
On Thursday, the "Cheese Farmers" lost to Tottenham away with a score of 1-3. In total, the club has earned €21,880,000 for participating in the Europa League. The defense of the Alkmaar team is stable, conceding 24 goals in 24 matches. They have achieved three clean-sheet victories, including a recent home win over Fortuna Sittard 1-0, but in the last round, the team lost away to Heerenveen (1-3).
The situation is complicated by injuries, as Sven Mijnans and Sem Westerveld will not be available for the away match.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- number of encounters - 43;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 15, draws - 7.
Statistics: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 24;
- number of wins: 20 vs 13;
- win percentage: 80% vs 54%;
- number of losses: 2 vs 7;
- number of draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 7;
- number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- number of draws: 0 vs 1.
- AZ Alkmaar wins with a +1.5 handicap in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches in the Eredivisie tournament.
- AZ Alkmaar wins with a +1.5 handicap in 29 out of the last 30 matches.
- AZ Alkmaar wins with a +1.5 handicap in 28 out of the last 29 matches in the Eredivisie tournament.
- AZ Alkmaar wins with a +1.5 handicap away in 13 out of the last 14 matches in the Eredivisie tournament.
- AZ Alkmaar wins with a +1.5 handicap away in 12 out of the last 13 matches.
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- today's home team average goals scored - 1.86, away team - 1.23;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.09;
- both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at home team's field - 9 times.
Statistics: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
- average total in the tournament: 2.84 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 2.12 vs 1.67;
- average total in the first half: 0.92 vs 0.63;
- average total in the second half: 1.2 vs 1.04;
- Ajax: average total at home in the tournament - 2.5;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2) vs 1.9 (away - 1.6).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 14 out of the last 15 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 11 out of the last 12 head-to-head matches between these teams in the Eredivisie tournament.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams at the home field in the Eredivisie tournament.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 16 out of Ajax's last 18 matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Ajax's last 10 out of 11 matches in the Eredivisie tournament.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Ajax's last 8 out of 9 home matches.
Corner Prediction
Ajax: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.08; at home - 6.67;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4; at home - 4.6.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.79, away - 5.83;
- last 10 matches: average total - 7.1; away - 7.4.
- Ajax takes more than 4.5 corners at home in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches between these teams in the Eredivisie tournament.
- Ajax takes more than 4.5 corners at home in 7 out of the last 8 matches in the Eredivisie tournament.
Card Prediction
Head-to-head matches
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.12 (1.56 for the home team and 1.56 for the away team);
- average total yellow cards at home field - 3.45 (1.2 for the home team and 2.25 for the away team).
Ajax: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 1.48; at home - 1.25;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 2.8.
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 1.42, away - 1.67;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.7; away - 1.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored overall - 21 times;
- at home team's field - 9 times.
Statistics: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 24;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 13;
- number of BTTS for Ajax at home - 5 (42%);
- number of BTTS for AZ Alkmaar away - 6 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- number of BTTS for Ajax at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS for AZ Alkmaar away - 4 (80%).