AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction 8 February 2026
🔊 The marquee match of the 22nd round of the Eredivisie will take place in Alkmaar, where AZ host Ajax. Considering the attacking prowess of both teams, their motivation to secure top positions in the standings, and their head-to-head statistics, this clash promises to be a real spectacle. We'll attempt to provide an insightful prediction in our editorial analysis.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 6:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - AZ Alkmaar):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 14 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and Ajax Amsterdam:
- played 46 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 21, draws - 8;
- number of goals - 63 against 82;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 2.02;
- average total goals in the match - 3.15.
Head-to-head statistics AZ Alkmaar - Ajax
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the KNVB beker tournament (home team - AZ Alkmaar, away team - Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Twente):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 15;
- fouls: 13 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 9.
AZ Alkmaar currently sit in 6th place in the Eredivisie standings after 21 rounds. Over their last five matches, the team has secured two wins, suffered two losses, and recorded one draw. The "Cheeseheads" have failed to score more than once in six of their last seven games within 90 minutes, yet their average goal tally stands at 1.71. This is because AZ can occasionally deliver heavy defeats, even against formidable opponents. For instance, Ajax recently fell victim to such a rout in the cup, with a 6-0 thrashing.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
Ajax Amsterdam Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Excelsior, away - Ajax Amsterdam). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Ajax have been on a solid run in the Eredivisie, remaining unbeaten since the latter half of December. These performances secured their spot in the top three for a while, but a series of draws recently have seen them slip to fourth place. Their attack remains one of the most formidable in the league, averaging nearly two goals per game. However, their defense is struggling, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Notably, Ajax have yet to keep a clean sheet in any away game this season.
Match Results: Ajax Amsterdam
Latest news
AZ Alkmaar
❌ Mexx Meerdink, Denso Kasius, and Jordy Clasie have been sidelined for quite some time. Sven Mijnans has missed the last four matches, but according to the medical staff, he is nearing a return.
Ajax Amsterdam
🎙 Ko Itakura made the switch to Ajax from Borussia Mönchengladbach last summer. However, according to reports from journalists, the Japanese defender would prefer to return now rather than wait for the next transfer window. Nonetheless, it is anticipated that the Germans will approach Ajax again only next summer, as they did last year.
❌ The much-troubled Ko Itakura was sidelined in the 20th round of the Eredivisie and has already missed two matches. Ajax have no other injury concerns.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 21, draws - 8.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Amsterdam
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 9 vs 10;
- win percentage: 43% vs 48%;
- losses: 7 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Ajax Amsterdam won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 away games against AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games.
- Ajax Amsterdam won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.37, the guests - 1.78;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Amsterdam
- average total in the tournament: 3.38 vs 3.29;
- average total goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.95;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.86;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2.1;
- Ajax Amsterdam: average total away in the tournament - 2.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.83) vs 2.3 (away - 2.67).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.86; at home field - 6.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 5.67.
Ajax Amsterdam: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.19, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.83.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 6 AZ Alkmaar games against Ajax Amsterdam.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Amsterdam
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 9 (90%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 10 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Ajax Amsterdam away - 5 (83%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 home games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in last 11 away games (Eredivisie).
- Ajax Amsterdam have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (24/187, 12.8%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 4:1 (2/10, 20%);
- Ajax Amsterdam away most often play: 2:2 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.01% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.83% (odds 8)
2:2 - 7.54% (odds 11)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AZ have proven to be a tough opponent for Ajax. The last time the Amsterdam side defeated the "Farmers" was back in 2022. Since then, 10 matches have passed, and Ajax have failed to secure a victory in any competition. It's no surprise the hosts are considered favorites, despite the visitors' impressive league performances. Moreover, the match will take place in Alkmaar, and Ajax struggled away against modest Excelsior in the previous round. We suggest considering a bet on AZ Alkmaar (0) handicap.No comments
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Amsterdam
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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