Empoli vs Modena Prediction 31 January 2026
📢 How will the match between Empoli and Modena unfold in the 22nd round of Serie B? Both teams boast intriguing styles of play: Empoli favor an attacking approach, while Modena focus on defense. Recently, the home side have shown inconsistency, but their home scoring record is impressive-they've found the net in 13 of their last 14 matches. Modena, on the other hand, excel away from home with a defensive emphasis, as evidenced by the trend of under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away games. This upcoming clash is a crucial stage for both teams in their league campaign.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 24 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Modena):
- ball possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
📊 Empoli and Modena have officially faced off in only two matches over the past 12 years.
Head-to-head statistics Empoli - Modena

Empoli Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Carrarese Calcio, away team - Empoli). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Empoli vs Carrarese Calcio):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Empoli, renowned for their attacking play, are aiming to climb the Serie B standings. The team currently sits 10th after a run of five wins and four losses in their last ten matches. At home, they show a positive trend, having scored at least one goal in 13 of their last 14 games.
Match Results: Empoli

Modena Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Modena, away - Palermo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Modena vs Palermo):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
The Canaries are sitting in sixth place, thanks to their solid defense and ability to dictate the game even against stronger opponents. However, recent matches have exposed some issues: the team has managed just two wins while suffering five defeats in their last ten outings, highlighting their struggles to secure points. In away games, the Canaries typically see low-scoring affairs, with the total under 2.5 goals hitting in seven of their eight such matches.
Match Results: Modena
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Empoli vs Modena
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 7 vs 9;
- win percentage: 33% vs 43%;
- losses: 8 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Empoli won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 home games.
- Empoli won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.5, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Empoli vs Modena
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 2.14;
- average total goals scored: 1.24 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.48 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 0.86;
- Empoli: average total at home in the tournament - 1.55;
- Modena: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.6) vs 0.9 (away - 1.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Empoli home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Modena games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Empoli: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.19; at home field - 4.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 4.8.
Modena: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.1, away - 7.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; away - 9.2.
- Modena have taken over 4.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Empoli vs Modena
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Empoli at home - 8 (73%);
- number of BTTS matches for Modena away - 3 (30%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Empoli at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Modena away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (35/210, 16.7%);
- Empoli at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (5/11, 45.5%);
- Modena away most often play: 0:2 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.43% (odds 5.6)
0:1 - 12.34% (odds 6.2)
0:0 - 9.77% (odds 7.6)
Editorial Prediction
Modena head into the match as favorites, largely due to their superior position in the standings. However, the team has struggled to find their best form recently and hasn't looked as confident as before. On the road, Modena tend to play cautiously and are rarely involved in high-scoring games: in 7 of their last 8 away matches, no more than two goals were scored. In this context, it makes sense to bet on under 2.5 goals.