Padova vs Carrarese Calcio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 October 2026
📢 Padova have made a fairly confident start to Serie B and head into the sixth round in sixth place, having won two of their five matches. Things look very different for Carrarese, who sit bottom of the table and have gone ten matches without a win. That lengthy run of poor results puts the visitors in a difficult position, while the hosts have a good chance to strengthen their standing in the upper half of the table.
Head-to-Head
Padova beat Carrarese 1-0 in their Serie B meeting 10 February 2026, despite being outplayed in terms of possession (36% to 64%) and shots (13 to 22). Of Carrarese's 22 shots, however, only one was on target.
In three official meetings, Carrarese have never scored against Padova: two matches ended in Padova wins and one in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Padova - Carrarese Calcio
Padova Team Overview
In their previous Serie B match on 19 September 2026, Padova lost away to Palermo 1-2. The visitors had 20 shots to the hosts' 22 and won more corners (11 to 7), but also had a man sent off.
Padova sit sixth in the table with seven points. They are not a high-scoring side, averaging roughly one goal scored and one conceded per game. They are particularly cautious at home, where their last six matches have all finished with under 2.5 goals. Their finishing problems have been persistent: they have failed to score more than one goal in 14 consecutive matches. Despite their modest attacking output, a relatively solid defence allows Padova to pick up points regularly and stay in the upper half of the table.
Match Results: Padova
Carrarese Calcio Team Overview
Carrarese's last Serie B home match, against Benevento 19 September 2026, ended in a 1-0 defeat. Despite the shots on target being level at 4-4, Carrarese won significantly more corners - 11 to 3.
Carrarese have had a dreadful start to the season and sit bottom of the table with a single point. In the first five rounds they suffered four defeats and managed just one draw. The problems in attack are particularly serious - across five matches Carrarese have scored just two goals, an average of 0.4 per game. Their matches are not always high-scoring, and even in defeat they have often lost by the minimum margin.
Match Results: Carrarese Calcio
Total Goals Prediction
Carrarese have been extremely low-scoring away from home, managing fewer than 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away matches. Their seasonal away average of just 0.5 goals per game backs this up. The Carrarese Team Total - Under 1.5 is priced at 1.36*.
Corners Prediction
Carrarese regularly win a high number of corners away from home: the team exceeded 4.5 corners in 11 consecutive away matches in Serie B. That consistent trend makes a bet on Carrarese Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 reasonable at odds of 1.82*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (20.03%), 0:0 (16.07%) and 0:1 (11.55%). The most probable result is a narrow Padova win by 1:0.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Padova are considered favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment. The hosts have been noticeably more convincing in the opening stretch of the season and will have the advantage of playing at home. Carrarese had a very poor run before the break, and a ten-match winless streak gives little reason to expect a sudden improvement in results. Padova look the more organised and consistent side, capable of exploiting their opponents' weaknesses. Our pick, therefore, is a Padova win.
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Betting Tips: Padova - Carrarese Calcio
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