Modena vs Empoli Prediction 20 September 2026
📢 Modena and Empoli have had broadly comparable starts to the Serie B season and, after four rounds, sit close together in the middle of the table. The hosts have picked up slightly more points so far, though there is no clear advantage between the two sides in terms of quality of play. Modena's main problem remains their defence, which has been unable to put together a solid defensive performance for some time now.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across three official meetings, the two sides scored 2 and 1 goals respectively. On average, 0.67 goals were scored in the first half and 0.33 in the second. The overall average total goals per match was 1.
Head-to-head statistics Modena - Empoli
Modena Team Overview
Modena go into the fifth round in seventh place, holding on in the upper half of the table. Their start to the season has been fairly modest in terms of goals conceded - they are averaging 0.75 per game. That said, defensive problems have not gone away entirely: counting the end of last season, Modena conceded at least one goal in 13 of their previous 14 matches. Results have also been inconsistent - across their last five matches, they have won two, drawn one and lost two.
Match Results: Modena
Empoli Team Overview
Empoli sit just below them in tenth place, and their results have been equally inconsistent. In their last five matches they have won twice and lost three times, so good results and bad ones have been alternating regularly. Taking the end of last season into account, Empoli are averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, which points primarily to a low attacking output. That said, Modena's regular defensive errors do leave the visitors with chances even given such modest average scoring figures.
Match Results: Empoli
Total Goals Prediction
In 22 consecutive home matches, Modena have not seen the Total Goals - Over 3.5 line exceeded, which forms an extremely consistent low-scoring trend at home. Both teams also average modest numbers: Modena are scoring 1.5 goals per game this season and conceding 0.75, while Empoli are averaging 0.75 scored and 1 conceded. There are no significant factors working against this bet, so the selection is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.35*.
Reliable Bet
Modena have scored fewer than 2.5 goals at home in 14 of their last 15 home matches, which reflects a consistent trend. Their home scoring averages are also low - 0 goals this season and 0.75 over their last 10 home matches. This makes Modena Team Total - Under 2.5 a confident selection at odds of 1.32*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (18.34%), 0:0 (15.96%) and 0:1 (11.08%). We expect the match to end 1:1.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Modena are considered favourites for this match thanks to home advantage and a higher league position, but their results so far have not been particularly convincing. On top of that, they have conceded in 14 consecutive matches, which gives Empoli a good chance to exploit the hosts' habitual defensive errors. Even accounting for the visitors' relatively modest attacking output, a run that long is hard to ignore. Our pick is Empoli Team Total - Over 0.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Modena - Empoli
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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