Wolfsburg vs Mainz Prediction

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The main thing

    πŸ”Š The second round of the Bundesliga continues at the Volkswagen Arena. Wolfsburg, who kicked off the season with a commanding away victory over Heidenheim, aim to build on that success in their clash against Mainz. The '05ers' stumbled unexpectedly in the opening round, losing to KΓΆln at home, but they redeemed themselves midweek by knocking out Rosenborg to secure a spot in the UEFA Europa Conference League group stage. Will Mainz earn their first points of the league campaign on the road, or will the Wolves extend their winning streak?

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š In head-to-head clashes between Wolfsburg and Mainz, the "Wolves" hold a clear advantage: out of 33 matches, they've secured 14 victories, while Mainz have managed just 8 wins, with 11 games ending in a draw. Last season, Wolfsburg edged out a 4-3 win at home in the first half of the season, but couldn't claim victory away at Mainz in the second half-Maximilian Arnold and Denis Vavro salvaged a 2-2 draw in the 89th minute.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    40%
    14 Wins
    34%
    12 Draws
    26%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    35
    Total Goals Avg
    3
    Both teams scored
    49%
    1.71
    Total average
    1.29
    1.89
    Yellow cards
    2
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    3.5
    1.08
    15
    1
    8
    11
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    3.5
    1.08
    15
    1
    8
    11
    3
    2
    31.08.25
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    1
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.68
    1.68
    3
    10
    15
    14
    2
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    1.68
    3
    10
    15
    14
    2
    5
    19.04.25
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    2.59
    1.66
    7
    5
    15
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2.59
    1.66
    7
    5
    15
    8
    2
    3
    08.12.24
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Mainz
    Mainz
    1.26
    2.79
    3
    5
    14
    16
    3
    4
    4
    3
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1.26
    2.79
    3
    5
    14
    16
    3
    4
    18.05.24
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Mainz
    Mainz
    -
    -
    1
    3
    13
    12
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    1
    3
    13
    12
    2
    3
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    Wolfsburg Team Overview

    🟒 Wolfsburg have made an impressive start to the 2025/26 Bundesliga season, securing a 3-1 away victory against Heidenheim. For new head coach Paul Simonis, making his debut in the top division with the club, it was the perfect beginning-he became the tenth manager in the club's history to avoid defeat in their first Bundesliga match. Goals came from Andreas Skov Olsen (20th minute), along with substitutes Mattias Svanberg (66) and Mohamed Amoura (87, penalty). Making their top-flight debuts for the team were Vinicius Souza and Aaron Zehnter.

    Match Results: Wolfsburg

    Last matches
    25.05.26
    BUN
    Paderborn 07
    Paderborn 07
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    1
    3.47
    0.43
    19
    2
    12
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    3.47
    0.43
    19
    2
    12
    9
    3
    4
    L
    21.05.26
    BUN
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Paderborn 07
    Paderborn 07
    1
    1.49
    0.10
    4
    1
    12
    16
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.49
    0.10
    4
    1
    12
    16
    1
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    1.61
    3.42
    8
    9
    6
    9
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.61
    3.42
    8
    9
    6
    9
    2
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.78
    2.25
    6
    3
    8
    5
    1
    0
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.98
    0.98
    1
    7
    5
    11
    1
    1
    D
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    Mainz Team Overview

    πŸ”΄ Mainz kicked off the 2025/26 Bundesliga season with a home defeat to Cologne (0-1). The team controlled the game until Paul Nebel's red card in the 60th minute, but playing with ten men, they conceded a last-minute goal. On Thursday, Mainz successfully played their return leg in the Europa Conference League qualifiers, defeating Norwegian side Rosenborg 4-1 at home, securing their spot in the tournament's group stage. Stefan Bell, Jae-Sung Lee, Nelson Weiper, and Nadiem Amiri found the back of the net. Despite the league opener loss, their successful qualification in the Conference League and strong team motivation give Mainz confidence ahead of their clash with Wolfsburg.

    Match Results: Mainz

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.97
    2.22
    6
    3
    8
    12
    1
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Union
    Union
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1.47
    2.98
    7
    8
    11
    10
    2
    1
    L
    03.05.26
    Bundesliga
    St. Pauli
    St. Pauli
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0.89
    2.28
    7
    7
    10
    8
    3
    1
    W
    25.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Mainz
    Mainz
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    4
    2.57
    2.01
    5
    4
    14
    10
    1
    2
    L
    19.04.26
    Bundesliga
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Borussia M'gladbach
    Mainz
    Mainz
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.73
    2.32
    0
    6
    12
    8
    5
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Wolfsburg

    πŸŽ™ Paul Simonis after the game: "First and foremost, playing here was truly an honor. Back in 2013, when I was younger, I watched a documentary about coaches, so I've known Mr. Schmidt for quite some time. As for the match itself, we dominated for long stretches and created more chances. But Heidenheim have a special strength, which they showcased again in this game. Fortune was on our side a bit later than when they equalized."

    πŸ” Captain Maximilian Arnold marked his 450th match for the club, having scored 48 goals and provided 47 assists. Swedish midfielder Svanberg was voted Man of the Match by the fans.

    πŸ“ The team has also strengthened the right flank of their defense by signing 20-year-old French defender Sael Kambedi on loan from Lyon.

    ❌ Denis Vavro, Rogerio, Jesper Lindstrom, and Kevin Paredes continue their recovery from injuries.

    Mainz

    πŸŽ™ Defender Danny da Costa after the match against Rosenborg: "We wanted to send a message right from the start, and we succeeded. It felt like the entire team was determined to perform better than in the first match. Tonight was incredible. Tomorrow, we'll be part of the draw, and we'll see how it unfolds - we've earned this moment. We left no room for doubt today. I've never experienced such an electric atmosphere in all my time here; it was a constant adrenaline rush. With support like this, we can beat any opponent. Now we need to recover and focus on Wolfsburg. But we still have some time to enjoy the moment until tomorrow."

    πŸ” Paul Nebel has been called up to the senior Germany national team for the first time. Julian Nagelsmann has included the Mainz academy graduate in the squad for September's World Cup qualifiers.

    πŸ“ Club graduate Nelson Weiper has extended his contract with Mainz until 2029. The forward has made 41 appearances for Mainz in the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, scoring five goals and providing two assists.

    ❌ Due to a two-match suspension, Paul Nebel will miss the upcoming games against Wolfsburg and Leipzig. Additionally, the club has lost Benedikt Hollerbach indefinitely due to a muscle injury in his left thigh.

    🟨 Referee and Cards

    The clash at the Volkswagen Arena will be officiated by SΓΆren Storks. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per game. In the previous five head-to-heads between Wolfsburg and Mainz, the total yellow cards exceeded 3.5. Considering Storks' average statistics, it's reasonable to predict that this trend will continue for a sixth consecutive meeting.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    The average total for head-to-head matches between these teams stands at 3 goals. We anticipate a high-scoring affair from both sides, as seen in their last four consecutive encounters. Despite Mainz not scoring in their first match, they showcased attacking potential against Rosenborg. Our pick is both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The average total of corners in their head-to-heads is 10.3. We are betting on Wolfsburg's total corners under 5.5. The Wolves have delivered fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches.

    Editor's Prediction

    The head-to-head history between Wolfsburg and Mainz is marked by high-scoring games, averaging three goals per match, with eight of the last ten encounters meeting this benchmark. Both teams approach the attack with confidence: Wolfsburg netted three times in their opening match, while Mainz, despite their Bundesliga defeat, showcased their attacking prowess in European competitions. Our prediction: over 2.5 total goals. A likely scoreline is 3-2.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -133*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 August 2025, 12:54)

    Betting Tips: Wolfsburg - Mainz

    Wolfsburg have not won
    vfl-wolfsburg-1in last 8 home games (Bundesliga).
    Mainz will not lose
    Everygame
    -143
    Mainz have not won
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 9 of last 10 games (Bundesliga).
    Wolfsburg will not lose
    Everygame
    -303
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    vfl-wolfsburg-11-fsv-mainz-05-in last 11 Wolfsburg games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 15 of last 17 Mainz games.
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 13 of last 14 Mainz games (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 8 of last 9 Mainz away games.
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in last 7 Mainz away games (Bundesliga).
    in 17 of last 19 Soren Storks games.
    in last 11 Soren Storks games (in the Bundesliga).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Wolfsburg have scored
    vfl-wolfsburg-11-fsv-mainz-05-in 12 of last 13 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    vfl-wolfsburg-11-fsv-mainz-05-in last 11 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
    Mainz have conceded
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 14 of last 15 games.
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in last 12 games (Bundesliga).
    1-fsv-mainz-05-in 11 of last 12 away games (Bundesliga).
    Wolfsburg will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Wolfsburg - Mainz Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Augsburg
    Augsburg
    341271545-6143
    10.
    Mainz
    Mainz
    3410101444-5340
    11.
    Union
    Union
    341091544-5839
    15.
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    34881837-6032
    16.
    Wolfsburg
    Wolfsburg
    34781945-6929
    17.
    Heidenheim
    Heidenheim
    34682041-7226

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 15
    -4
    -1
    15 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    15
    15
    Conceded
    16
    2.6
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats