Sporting Cristal vs UTC de Cajamarca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 November 2026
🔊 Sporting Cristal sit atop the Clausura standings, but there’s no room for complacency - Sport Huancayo are level on points, while Universitario trail by just one and still have a game in hand. Next up, the capital side host UTC de Cajamarca, who are fighting for survival near the bottom of the table. Sporting Cristal have won all seven of their home fixtures in this Clausura campaign, making them clear favourites. However, it was UTC de Cajamarca who pulled off a surprise 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. For Sporting Cristal, this match is a chance to exact revenge and maintain their grip on first place.
Head-to-Head
UTC de Cajamarca trailed Sporting Cristal at halftime, but in their most recent Primera head-to-head on 15 May 2026, they struck three times after the break to secure a 3-1 victory. Despite holding just 44% possession compared to Sporting Cristal’s 56%, UTC de Cajamarca managed more shots on goal - 17 to 12.
The official head-to-head record features just one encounter so far: UTC de Cajamarca defeated Sporting Cristal at home with a 3-1 scoreline, netting all three goals in the second half.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting Cristal - UTC de Cajamarca

Sporting Cristal: Fortress at Home
Sporting Cristal edged out Alianza Lima 3-2 at home in their previous Primera División fixture. The sides went into half-time level at 2-2, but Sporting Cristal enjoyed 61% possession and outshot their opponents 19 to 16.
Sporting Cristal have claimed victory in 8 of their last 10 official matches, suffering just two defeats in that span. They are averaging 2.5 goals per game while conceding exactly one. Their attacking firepower is especially impressive at home, where opponents often concede three or four goals. In the current Clausura, the capital club have netted 29 goals in 14 rounds - the best tally in the league. However, their defense can be vulnerable, and even convincing wins are frequently marred by goals conceded.
Match Results: Sporting Cristal

UTC de Cajamarca: their defense is falling apart
UTC de Cajamarca suffered a 1-3 defeat at home in the Primera. Despite both sides enjoying equal possession and registering five shots on target each, the hosts managed to score just once and were reduced to ten men after a red card.
UTC de Cajamarca are going through a prolonged slump: just two wins, one draw, and seven defeats in their last ten outings. Over that stretch, they average 1.4 goals scored per match but concede 2.4 on average. Defensive issues have been especially glaring in the Clausura, with opponents hitting the back of their net 32 times in 14 rounds. Still, UTC de Cajamarca have occasionally sprung surprises on the road, picking up three wins from six away fixtures in the second half of the season. However, facing the league leaders, Sporting Cristal - who are almost flawless at home - will make it significantly harder for UTC de Cajamarca to make up for their defensive lapses.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Prediction for the 1st half
Sporting Cristal consistently seize the initiative on home turf, often looking to build an early advantage. In three of their last four league matches at home, they have gone into the break in front. UTC de Cajamarca, meanwhile, struggle defensively in the opening 45 minutes - a vulnerability that could prove costly against such a prolific opponent. The hosts will be eager to score early and avoid a tense finish in this crucial title race clash. Prediction: Sporting Cristal to win the first half at odds of 1.53*.
Match Result Prediction
Sporting Cristal rarely give their opponents a chance on home turf, often claiming convincing victories. In five of their last six Clausura home fixtures, Sporting Cristal have won by at least a two-goal margin. On the other hand, UTC de Cajamarca have lost eight of their 15 away matches this season. The visitors regularly concede even against sides from the lower half of the table, while the hosts boast a far more reliable defence. Our pick: Sporting Cristal to win with a -1.5 handicap at 1.64*.
Total Goals Prediction
Sporting Cristal’s home matches have recently turned into genuine goal-fests. In their last five league games at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, there have been at least four goals scored in each fixture. The hosts themselves have racked up 19 goals in that span, showcasing an impressive attacking output. UTC de Cajamarca have also been involved in high-scoring affairs on the road - three of their six away games in the Clausura have featured four or more goals. Back over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.85*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
UTC de Cajamarca, despite a string of disappointing results, consistently find ways to get on the scoresheet. In five of their last six away matches in the Clausura, they have both scored and conceded. Sporting Cristal, meanwhile, have also struggled to keep clean sheets at home - opponents have found the net in four of their previous five league fixtures. With the hosts boasting a potent attack, UTC de Cajamarca’s defense is likely in for a stern test. Prediction: Both teams to score at 1.73*.
High-Risk Bet
Sporting Cristal have been on such a tear at home that their usual two or three goals no longer seem to be their limit. In four of their last five home league fixtures, at least five goals have been scored. UTC de Cajamarca are also capable of contributing to a high-scoring contest, especially given their defensive struggles. Of course, to see this kind of goal fest, both sides will need to convert their chances efficiently, not just rely on the hosts’ attacking edge. Our pick: over 4.5 total goals at odds of 2.90*.
Safer Bet
Sporting Cristal are on a remarkable run, having won seven consecutive home matches in the Clausura without dropping a single point. Across the entire season, they have secured 11 victories at home, along with two draws and just two defeats. In contrast, UTC de Cajamarca are mired in a prolonged slump, regularly falling to opponents with far less attacking firepower. With the hosts firmly in the title race, they simply cannot afford to underestimate even an out-of-form rival. Back Sporting Cristal to win at odds of 1.27*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm has identified the three most likely scorelines: 2-0 (10.41%), 2-1 (9.43%), and 1-0 (9.02%). While 2-0 holds the highest probability, our editorial team expects a higher-scoring affair.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sporting Cristal have a golden opportunity to tighten their grip on the Clausura lead and get revenge for their first-round defeat. They are far more prolific at home, and UTC de Cajamarca’s current defensive line is unlikely to withstand sustained pressure. The visitors might capitalize on a rare mistake from the hosts, but repeating the shock result from May looks highly improbable. The capital club regularly rack up big wins on their own turf and possess enough attacking firepower to secure another convincing victory. Predicted score: 4-1. Main bet: Sporting Cristal to win with a -1.5 handicap.