Mainz vs Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 April 2025
🔊 Can Mainz, who have surprised the entire German football community this season, maintain their mental fortitude and hold onto fifth place? What are the predictions? To do so, they need to defeat Wolfsburg at home, a team with no competitive motivation left this season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Mainz and Wolfsburg:
- 32 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 14, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 39 for Mainz, 56 for Wolfsburg;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.44, in the 2nd half - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.97.
The last game was played on 08 December 2024 at Wolfsburg's ground and ended with a score of 4-3.
Head-to-head statistics Mainz - Wolfsburg
Mainz Team Overview
🔴 Mainz have been a pleasant surprise this season. The club spent a significant time in the top four, contending for a Champions League spot. However, as the season progressed, they started to falter, securing just one win in their last five matches. In the previous round, Mainz suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Hoffenheim, who are battling to avoid relegation.
🔗 Despite this, the club remains in the race for the top four and has every chance to climb back into the quartet with the outcome of the upcoming match. To achieve this, they must defeat Wolfsburg at home on their beloved "Mewa Arena."
🔝 Notable this season is Jonathan Burkardt, who has scored 15 goals and provided two assists in 24 matches. Midfielder Paul Nebel has also impressed with 8 goals and 5 assists in 27 games. In his second season with Mainz, Nadim Amiri has been outstanding, tallying 6 goals and 6 assists in 25 appearances.
❌ Paul Nebel will miss the upcoming match due to a red card suspension. Additionally, defenders Stefan Bell and Maxim Dal will be unavailable because of various injuries.
Match Results: Mainz
Wolfsburg Team Overview
🟢 Ralph Hasenhüttl's squad are unlikely to be satisfied with their season's end. They sit in 12th place, currently enduring a four-game losing streak. In their last outing, the Wolves fell at home to RB Leipzig (3-2). Goals were scored by defender Kilian Fischer and forward Andreas Skov Olsen.
🔗 Despite this, the relegation zone poses no threat, and they are just four points away from the tenth spot. Mathematically, the Green-Whites still have a shot at breaking into the top six, but given their current form, even their own fans find it hard to believe.
🔝 On a positive note, new team addition Algerian forward Mohamed Amoura has settled in quickly, scoring 10 goals and providing 9 assists in 26 matches. The second-best scorer for the Wolves is Danish player Jonas Wind, with 8 goals and 4 assists in 27 games.
❌ The team's performance is being affected by an injury crisis: defenders Konstantinos Koulierakis, Sebastian Bornauw, Denis Vavro, Mathys Angeli, Rogério Oliveira da Silva, midfielders Mattias Svanberg and Lovro Majer, as well as forward Bartosz Białek, are likely to miss the upcoming match. The timeline for their return remains uncertain.
Match Results: Wolfsburg
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 14, draws - 10.
Statistics: Mainz vs Wolfsburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 13 vs 10;
- win percentage: 45% vs 34%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 11;
- number of draws: 7 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- number of draws: 3 vs 3.
- Wolfsburg won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Wolfsburg won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 25 games.
- Wolfsburg won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 22 games (Bundesliga).
- Wolfsburg won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 16 away games.
- Wolfsburg won with a +1.5 handicap in their last 14 away games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 1.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Mainz vs Wolfsburg
- average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 3.31;
- average total goals scored: 1.59 vs 1.76;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.79 vs 0.66;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 1.1;
- Mainz: average total at home in the tournament - 1.36;
- Wolfsburg: average total away in the tournament - 1.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.25) vs 0.8 (away - 0.8).
- Mainz have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Wolfsburg (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.55; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 3.
Wolfsburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.79, away - 4.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 3.8.
- Wolfsburg have taken under 4.5 corners in their last 6 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.76 (1.88 for home team and 1.88 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.93 (1.2 for home team and 1.73 for away team).
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.97; at home - 2.36;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 2.75.
Wolfsburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.07, away - 2.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; away - 1.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Mainz vs Wolfsburg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 7 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wolfsburg away - 9 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Mainz at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Wolfsburg away - 2 (40%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends and team statistics, a tight contest is expected with the potential for a narrow edge by one side. While Mainz are traditionally strong at home and rarely suffer defeats on their turf, Wolfsburg have the ability to impose their rhythm through counterattacks. A total over 2.5 goals bet seems the most logical choice, as both teams display an attacking style of play. This wager has been successful in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters between these rivals.
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Betting Tips: Mainz - Wolfsburg
in 6 of last 7 home games against Wolfsburg (Bundesliga).
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in 19 of last 20 Felix Zwayer games (in the Bundesliga).in last 15 Mainz home games against Wolfsburg (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 Mainz home games (Bundesliga).in 10 of last 11 Wolfsburg games.in 9 of last 10 Wolfsburg games (Bundesliga).in last 6 Wolfsburg away games.in last 5 Wolfsburg away games (Bundesliga).Comparison of Teams Stats
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