Pafos vs Hajduk Prediction 30 July 2026
🔊 Pafos host Hajduk in the second leg of the Europa League second qualifying round. The Cypriots are two goals down after losing in Split, so they need to overturn that deficit - Hajduk can afford to lose by one and still go through. For the hosts, this is one of the biggest matches of their season. There won't be another chance to stay in the hunt for the Europa League group stage.
Head-to-Head
📊 After a goalless first half in Split, goals from Michel Šego and Dario Melnjak gave Hajduk the win at home. The stats didn't exactly back them up, though. Possession - 44% to 56%, shots - 8:14 (on target - 2:3), corners - 8:7.
Head-to-head statistics Pafos - Hajduk
Pafos Team Overview
Ricardo Sa Pinto's side couldn't make their possession count in the first leg. The Cypriots had more of the ball but moved too slowly in the final third and created almost nothing. Now the situation forces Pafos to come out much more aggressively from the first minute and take the game to their opponents.
Home form is their biggest asset. Pafos have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 home matches and scored in 21 of their previous 23 at home. They've also been sharp before the break - finding the net in the first half in 6 of their last 7 home games. But now they need to score twice and keep a clean sheet just to force extra time, which is already a tall order. A bigger win to go through directly looks even less likely - Pafos haven't scored more than two goals in seven straight matches.
Match Results: Pafos
Hajduk Split Team Overview
Gonzalo García's side made a strong statement in the first leg, winning 2-0 at home. The Croatians made the most of their limited chances and barely let Pafos threaten their goal. Now Hajduk can drop the high press and focus on staying compact without the ball.
The away side's main advantage is that they can play to the scoreline. Even one goal would effectively settle the tie, so the Croatians will be looking for space in behind Pafos's defence. By classic football logic, when two evenly matched teams meet over two legs, the away side tends to sit deeper - and that suits Hajduk perfectly. They need to keep things tight and protect their aggregate lead. That said, the Croatian club rarely features in low-scoring matches: total goals over 1.5 landed in 9 of Hajduk's last 10 away games, and in seven matches in a row.
Match Results: Hajduk Split
Prediction for the 1st half
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6).
- Pafos have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Total Bet Prediction
- Pafos have scored in 21 of their last 23 matches.
Corners Prediction
Pafos: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 7; at home - 0;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 4.2.
Hajduk Split: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 6; away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; away - 2.6.
- Hajduk Split have taken more than 3.5 corners in 5 matches in a row.
Outcome Prediction
- Pafos have not lost in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Pafos will have to push forward from almost the first minute - only a two-goal win gives them any chance of extra time. Hajduk got exactly the scenario they wanted: sit back, stay compact, and use the space on the counter.
Home support or not, it'll be very hard for the hosts to break down a well-organised Croatian defence without leaving themselves exposed on the break. The most likely outcome is a cautious match with few goals. Our main prediction is total goals under 2.5. Expected score - 1:1.
Betting Tips: Pafos - Hajduk Split
in last 17 Pafos games.in last 7 Hajduk Split games.
in last 9 Pawel Raczkowski games.
in last 7 games.in 6 of last 7 Pafos games.in 13 of last 14 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
