Benfica vs Lech Poznan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026
🔊 Two teams at opposite ends of the Europa League table meet in Lisbon. Benfica have won all three of their league-phase matches and sit top, while Lech have just one point and are 32nd out of 36. The reigning Polish champions have lost two of their three games 4-0 and travel to Portugal without six injured players, including striker Mikael Ishak. The question, then, is not who will win, but whether Lech can even score.
🔁 Circumstances can change before kick-off, so we’ll keep an eye on the latest news and update our prediction. Check back throughout the day to stay up to date.
Head-to-Head
📊 Benfica and Lech have met only once before, in the Europa League group stage in autumn 2020, with Benfica winning both matches. The Lisbon side scored four in Poznan, three of them through Darwin Nunez. Lech stayed in the game thanks to Mikael Ishak, who equalised twice. Benfica scored four again in Lisbon that December, this time without conceding. Six years on, Ishak are still at Lech, but he will miss Thursday’s match through injury.
Head-to-head statistics Benfica - Lech Poznan
Benfica: Six Straight Wins, but a Night Short on Spark
Benfica have not lost since their defeat to Porto on 20 September, winning six straight matches in all competitions. They have taken maximum points from their first three Europa League league-phase games, starting with a trip to Milan. Benfica are second in the domestic league on 25 points, five behind Porto, who have won all 10 of their matches.
Their latest win was the hardest-earned of the six. Alverca kept a clean sheet throughout the first half, while a Benfica goal was ruled out for offside. Andreas Schjelderup was replaced at the break by Claudio Echeverri, who went on to win a penalty. Vangelis Pavlidis converted from the spot for the game’s only goal. “It was clearly a night when we lacked inspiration. We got through it on heart,” the coach admitted afterwards. Against Lech, heart alone may not be enough for the Europa League leaders.
Match Results: Benfica Lisbon
Lech: Polish champions pay the price for a gruelling schedule
Lech have played every three or four days since 10 October, and their injury list keeps growing. Six players will not travel to Lisbon. Muscle injuries are the biggest concern, and Niels Frederiksen has not tried to hide it. “In my view, there are too many of them,” the coach said. According to Frederiksen, such injuries occur when players are put under too much strain in a short period. Lech have one point in the Europa League, earned in a home draw with Sunderland.
The toll of that schedule became clear on 28 October, when Lech were knocked out of the Polish Cup by Siarka Tarnobrzeg, a fourth-tier side. Their opponents scored the only goal with a header from a corner, and Lech finished with ten men after Yannick Agnero was sent off. Three days later, Frederiksen’s side bounced back in the league with a convincing win over Wisla Krakow. Now Lech face a trip to the Europa League leaders, with another Ekstraklasa match to follow on Sunday.
Match Results: Lech Poznan
Latest news
Benfica Lisbon
❓ For the hosts, Leandro Barreiro is still recovering from injury, with no return date set. Enzo Barrenechea is a doubt, although he has trained with the squad several times. Jakub Kaminski is back in action and came on as a substitute against Alverca.
Lech Poznan
❓ The visitors are without six players. Mikael Ishak was injured against Legia and is expected back by early December at the latest. Alex Douglas, João Moutinho, Wojciech Mońka, Ali Gholizadeh and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh are also unavailable.
Predicted line-ups
📋 Benfica’s probable starting XI: Trubin - Bah, Araujo, Lenglet, Dahl - Aursnes, Palhinha - Prestianni, Schjelderup, Lukebakio - Pavlidis.
📋 Lech’s probable starting XI: Lis - Gurgul, Yegbe, Skrzypczak, Pereira - Kozubal, Murawski - Bengtsson, Rodriguez, Walemark - Agnero.
Total Goals Prediction
Lech’s away games rarely turn into goal fests: only two of their last 23 have featured more than four goals. Benfica’s matches tend to be higher-scoring, but even so, none of their last 13 have produced six goals or more. We expect the teams to score no more than four goals between them. The pick is under 4.5 goals at odds of 1.42*.
Corners Prediction
There have been at least nine corners in 10 of Lech’s last 11 matches, including seven of their last eight away games. The Polish champions have won at least three corners themselves in 19 consecutive away matches. Benfica should add to the count: in their last five home games, they have taken 51 corners to their opponents’ 19. We expect at least nine corners again. The pick is over 8.5 total corners at odds of 1.48*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Benfica are winning, but they are also playing aggressively. Marco Silva’s players have picked up 30 yellow cards in their last ten competitive matches, compared with 24 for their opponents. The gap is even wider in the Europa League league phase: Benfica have received 12 bookings in three matches, while their opponents have picked up just two. Benfica collected five yellows in Milan and another five away to Santa Clara. Lech’s record is more restrained: the Polish side have received 16 yellow cards over the same ten-match span, compared with 17 for their opponents. We expect the hosts to receive at least two bookings. The pick is Benfica over 1.5 team yellow cards.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
📌 Editor’s prediction
Benfica have scored in 32 straight matches, while Lech have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten. A home goal looks likely; the question is whether the visitors can respond. Benfica have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven Europa League matches. Lech arrive without six injured players, but the Polish side have taken a point off ninth-placed Sunderland in this competition. The Polish champions have also scored in seven of their last ten competitive matches. We expect Lech to find the net, but the Europa League leaders to come out on top. The pick is both teams to score. Score prediction: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Benfica Lisbon - Lech Poznan
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