Sturm vs Celje Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026
🔉 Sturm and Celje head into their head-to-head clash with contrasting form but the same desire to stay in the European race. The Austrian side have taken four points from three matches and moved into the play-off places after a 1-0 win over Marseille. The Slovenian side have just one point and sit near the bottom of the table, but this match could be decisive for their hopes of staying in the competition.
Head-to-Head
📊 Sturm and Celje have never met before. This will be their first-ever head-to-head meeting.
A winning start in Europe
Sturm have come through a difficult Europa League stretch with credit. A goalless draw with Rennes, a heavy 3-0 defeat to Bournemouth and a hard-fought 1-0 win over Marseille have left them with four points from a possible six at home. Against Marseille, the Austrians did more than protect an early lead from Diakite’s goal: they kept pressing, outshooting their opponents 5-1 on target and creating four chances to one. It was their first win of this campaign and put them back in the play-off race.
Outside Europe, though, progress has been harder to come by. Sturm sit fourth in the Austrian league, 11 points behind Rapid, and have drawn their two most recent league matches against Ried (2-2) and Wolfsberg (1-1). They have also been knocked out of the Austrian Cup after a 3-2 defeat to Austria Lustenau. Head coach Fabio Ingolitsch acknowledges that personnel problems have forced him to rely on a small group of players, taking a toll on their freshness. Sturm usually take the initiative at home, but the absence of several key players has noticeably reduced their attacking threat.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
The attack hit their stride as the unbeaten run continued
Celje made a poor start to the league phase, losing without scoring to Bayer (0-2) and Omonia (0-3). But they fought back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Red Bull Salzburg in the third round, thanks to goals from Kramer and substitute Kučys. That result proved a turning point: Celje have since taken four points in the Slovenian league, drawing 1-1 with Olimpija and thrashing Nafta 4-0. The improvement in attack is striking. They scored just once in five matches before facing Salzburg, but have scored seven in their last three.
Celje are fifth in the Slovenian league, eight points behind the leaders with a game in hand. Zeljković’s side are unbeaten in four competitive matches, while their last three away games have all ended in draws. They have yet to win away in Europe, but have not suffered a heavy defeat on the road either.
Match Results: Celje
Latest news
Sturm Graz
Sturm are still dealing with a lengthy injury list. Khudyakov continues to recover from a fractured tibia, while Kiteishvili, Mamageishvili, Rozga, Jatta, Weiper and Soglo are also sidelined. The absences affect several areas of the pitch, but are particularly damaging in attack and midfield.
Celje
Celje have one significant absentee: Pišek remains sidelined as he recovers from a cruciate ligament injury. The rest of their regular starters are available. Tuša, who picked up a knock against Red Bull Salzburg, has recovered quickly and could start.
⚽️ Goals prediction
At least one team have failed to score in 90 minutes in six of Sturm’s last seven home Europa League matches. The same bet has landed in all six of the Austrian side’s previous games in the competition. Our pick is both teams to score: no at odds of 2.19*.
🚩 Corners prediction
Sturm have rarely pushed their attacks down the flanks in recent European home matches. They have won no more than four corners in eight of their last 10 games, and no more than three in seven of them. Our prediction is Sturm under 5.5 corners at odds of 1.84*.
🟨 Yellow card prediction
This looks set to be a physical contest: Sturm play aggressively at home, while Celje are not afraid to commit fouls away from home to disrupt the tempo. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at odds of 1.70*. At least four bookings were shown in each of Celje’s and Sturm’s last two Europa League matches.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Sturm are favourites, but injuries have limited their attacking options. Celje are in good form and are unbeaten in four matches, though they have yet to win away in European competition. Sturm have been solid at home in the Europa League. Celje have improved in attack, but they are likely to struggle against the hosts’ organised defence. Our score prediction is a 2-0 win for Sturm. The main bet is under 3 goals. Neither side are likely to take many risks, and Sturm’s absences make an open, end-to-end game unlikely.
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Betting Tips: Sturm Graz - Celje
in 17 of last 18 home games.
in 7 of last 8 games (Europa League).
in 7 of last 8 games.in 23 of last 24 Sturm Graz home games.in 21 of last 22 Celje games.
in last 8 Sturm Graz games (Europa League).in 9 of last 10 Celje away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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