Hamburger vs Stuttgart Prediction 30 November 2025
🔊 Can Hamburg break their winless streak against Stuttgart at the Volksparkstadion? This is the headline for Sunday's Bundesliga action, where the hosts will aim for their only victory in October, while Stuttgart are on a four-match unbeaten run. The two sides last faced off in the 2022/23 season during the relegation playoffs, where Hamburg sought to return to the top flight, but Stuttgart managed to retain their Bundesliga status. In our prediction, we'll explain why the visitors seem more likely to come out on top.
Head-to-Head
📊 Hamburg and Stuttgart last faced each other in the 2022/23 season, when the "City Dwellers," finishing third in the 2. Bundesliga, played in the playoffs against the "Swabians," who ended up 16th in the top division. Stuttgart had little trouble overcoming Hamburg over two legs: a 3-0 win at the MHP Arena and a 3-1 victory at the Volksparkstadion (aggregate score 6-1).
Head-to-head statistics Hamburger - Stuttgart
Hamburger Team Overview
🔵 Merlin Polzin's team recently traveled to face another league struggler, Augsburg, who have already suffered seven defeats in 11 matches. However, at the WWK Arena, Hamburg endured their sixth loss (0-1). This defeat dropped the "Citizens" to 14th place, allowing Augsburg to climb ahead. The relegation zone is now just two points away. Hamburg haven't won in five league matches, but they have a strong chance in their upcoming game at the Volksparkstadion, where they secured both of their victories this season. Historically, Stuttgart has been Hamburg's most favorable opponent: the club has claimed 44 Bundesliga wins against the "Swabians"-more than against any other top-flight team.
Match Results: Hamburger
Stuttgart Team Overview
⚪ Sebastian Hoeneß's squad has kicked off this season with impressive confidence. Stuttgart sit fifth in the table, amassing 20 points from 11 matches. Last weekend, the Swabians traveled to Signal Iduna Park to face Borussia Dortmund, a venue where positive results are hard to come by. Yet, Stuttgart managed to secure a draw, thanks to a stellar performance from vice-captain Deniz Undav, who netted a hat-trick in the 3-3 draw. Remarkably, they were trailing throughout the match. Following that, Stuttgart claimed a commanding away victory in the Europa League, defeating Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands during the fifth round (4-0), marking their third win in the competition. This triumph elevated them to 12th place in the group stage standings. Goals from El-Hannoussa, Bouanani, and a brace from Leveling secured three points for the Swabians.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Latest news
Hamburger
🎙 Merlin Polzin on Stuttgart: "Our coaching staff has spent a lot of time watching Stuttgart's matches. The team's journey from relegation playoffs to cup victory and multiple appearances in international competitions has been incredible. Especially when you consider the style of play and the brand of football they display. As a neutral observer, it's a pleasure to watch their games and draw inspiration from their ideas."
❌ Warmed Omari is still on the mend. This week, the coaching staff was able to increase the workload on Daniel Elfadli, but examinations showed his injury hasn't fully healed yet. The same goes for Yussuf Poulsen-he's made progress in his recovery but won't be taking part in the upcoming match.
Stuttgart
🎙 Sebastian Hoeneß on the upcoming match: "We are well aware of the special atmosphere at Hamburg's home ground, so we are eagerly looking forward to Sunday's game. We aim to carry the momentum from our recent matches into this encounter and, just three days after our Europa League fixture, show the intensity required for our style of play. Their 1-1 draw with Borussia Dortmund is a testament to the serious challenge that lies ahead for us."
❌ The team will be without several players due to injuries: Tiago Tomás, Ermedin Demirović, Yannik Keitel, Dan-Axel Zagadou, and Jostin Diel will not be available for Stuttgart, while Noah Darvich continues to regain form with the U21s in the Third League.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Soren Storks has been appointed as the main referee for the clash at "Volkspark". He last officiated on November 1st in the match between Union and Freiburg (0:0), where he issued seven bookings. After 11 rounds, the home team has accumulated 21 yellow cards (averaging 1.9 per game), while the visitors have 20 (1.8). We suggest betting on Stuttgart's individual total of under 2.5 yellow cards - this has been the case in their last five away matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
The newcomer is struggling offensively, having scored just 9 goals in 11 rounds - only Heidenheim has fewer. Stuttgart have been scoring but also conceding in their last four rounds. However, we'll go with Hamburg's individual total of under 1.5 goals - a trend that has held in their last six consecutive matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
After 11 rounds, Polzin's side approaches the corner flag the least, averaging 3.6 times per game. Heness's players have contrasting stats: 5.7 corners per match, the second-best in the league after Leipzig. We choose Hamburg's individual total of under 5.5 corners, which has occurred in 9 out of their last 10 league matches.
Editor's Prediction
For the "city dwellers," home games are crucial: at the Volksparkstadion, they have a better chance to earn points than under the pressure of away stands, especially considering the team lags behind several rivals in skill level. Stuttgart are clear favorites even on the road, but we won't risk betting on their win: Hamburg proved in their last home match against Dortmund (1-1) that they have character and will fight until the final whistle.
However, their defense has conceded in five consecutive rounds, so we'll go for Stuttgart's individual total over 1.5 goals - this has hit in six of their last seven games and in five consecutive head-to-heads. We acknowledge that Hennes' squad playing their third away game in a week might impact their physical condition, but given Stuttgart's current form, we predict a 2-1 victory for them.
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Betting Tips: Hamburger - Stuttgart
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