Algeria vs Togo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 14 November 2026

📊 Algeria and Togo last played each other in 2024. Incidentally, those matches were also in AFCON qualifying, and they were also a pair of fixtures in the same qualifying campaign. Algeria won convincingly at home, 5-1, but were less effective away (1-0).

📋 Algeria’s predicted starting XI: Mastil - Belghali, Abada, Touba, Bensebaini - Bentaleb, Abdelli, Maza - Hadj Moussa, Gouiri, Amoura.

📋 Togo’s predicted starting XI: Barcola - Boateng, Brassier, Nador - Koudossou, Djene, Ouro, Zouberou - Karim, Denkey, Laba.

Dropping points in the previous round only makes the upcoming match more important for Algeria. They still lead the group, but their advantage over the chasing teams is just one point. They cannot afford another slip-up at home, especially against opponents whose squad is weaker than theirs. Togo will find it difficult to contain Algeria's attacking threat throughout the match. Bet: Algeria - Handicap -1.5 at odds of 1.63.

Algeria’s attacking potential suggests they can create several dangerous chances, but the visitors are unlikely to score many goals. Togo have struggled to score away from home, while their main striker, Kévin Denkey, has not scored for his club in six consecutive matches. Against stronger opposition, getting into the opposition penalty area will be difficult. If Algeria manage to take the initiative and control the match, Togo may have too few chances to score. Bet: Togo Team Total Goals - Under 0.5 at odds of 1.54.

The match is expected to see Algeria enjoy a clear territorial advantage. The hosts will have more possession, build attacks patiently and look to create chances down the flanks. That approach should bring corners. Togo also regularly win corners: in their first two group-stage matches, they took 14, including five in the defeat to Zambia. We therefore expect the total number of corners to be fairly high. Bet: Total Corners - Over 8.5 at odds of 1.73.

Despite Algeria's advantage, we do not expect a high-scoring match. The hosts are capable of achieving their main objectives with two goals, while Togo are unlikely to find a way to respond. The start of the game could be particularly important: if Algeria score early, it will be easier for them to control the match and avoid unnecessary risks. In that scenario, we consider the exact half-time score of 1-0 the most likely outcome, at odds of 2.70*.

Algeria have a clear advantage over their opponents in terms of player quality and are playing at home. Even after dropping points in the previous round, the hosts remain clear favourites for this match. Togo will have to spend a lot of time defending, and it will be difficult for them to rely on regular counter-attacks against a stronger team. Our reliable pick: Algeria to win at odds of 1.20.

If Algeria cannot break down the opposition's defence quickly and the first half ends goalless, the hosts will have to step up after the break. The difference in quality and squad depth should tell over the course of the match: Algeria have enough players to increase the pressure and create more goalscoring chances. In that case, an alternative in-play bet would be Algeria Team Total Goals - Over 1.

*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.

⭐️ Editor's Pick

Togo are likely to adopt a defensive approach and try to deny their opponents space near their goal. The visitors will look to rely on occasional counter-attacks, but Algeria's superior quality should allow them to control the match and regularly threaten Togo's goal.

We expect the hosts to score once in each half. An early goal will allow Algeria to play with more confidence thereafter, and after the break they will be able to make use of their advantage in individual quality. At the same time, there are not many reasons to expect Togo to score heavily. The editors' main pick is Algeria - Handicap -1.5. Correct score prediction: 2-0.