Toulouse vs Brest Prediction 24 August 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 Can Toulouse extend their winning streak in Ligue 1? On Sunday, in the second round of the French football championship, Carles Martinez's side will host a solid mid-table team, Brest. The match promises to be fiercely contested, as both teams picked up points in the previous round and are now determined to build on that success. Read the prediction for this game below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:4. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Toulouse):

    • ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.

    📊 In the last eight head-to-head encounters between these opponents, Brest have remained unbeaten. Toulouse's last victory dates back to 2013.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    18%
    2 Wins
    27%
    3 Draws
    55%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    11
    Total Goals Avg
    3.09
    Both teams scored
    55%
    1.09
    Total average
    2
    1.27
    Yellow cards
    1.55
    Last matches
    25.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.91
    0.43
    3
    3
    16
    16
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.91
    0.43
    3
    3
    16
    16
    2
    3
    24.08.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.21
    1
    3
    9
    14
    10
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.21
    1
    3
    9
    14
    10
    0
    1
    30.03.25
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    2.03
    1.34
    10
    3
    10
    18
    0
    5
    2
    4
    0
    2
    2
    2
    2.03
    1.34
    10
    3
    10
    18
    0
    5
    22.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    -
    -
    4
    3
    14
    16
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    14
    16
    1
    1
    19.05.24
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    -
    -
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    2
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    2
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    Toulouse Team Overview

    🟣 Toulouse had a challenging preseason in terms of friendly results: out of six matches, they suffered four defeats and managed two draws. It's hard to imagine what Carles Martinez told his squad to gear them up for a winning start in Ligue 1, considering their last victory was back in May.

    🔴 In their first official match of the season, Toulouse played away against Nice. The game was fiercely contested and ended with a 1-0 victory for the visitors. Djibril Sidibe scored the only goal in the 89th minute. Notably, Toulouse managed just two shots on target in that match and had a low expected goals figure of 1.57.

    Match Results: Toulouse

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.14
    0.2
    2
    2
    3
    5
    0
    0
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    1
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.33
    1.76
    7
    8
    20
    9
    4
    2
    W
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.37
    1.28
    8
    3
    7
    15
    1
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.65
    0.91
    4
    2
    17
    10
    3
    2
    D
    21.04.26
    Coupe
    Lens
    Lens
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    3.18
    0.47
    6
    0
    10
    12
    0
    2
    L
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    Stade Brest Team Overview

    🔴 Brest had an impressive preseason leading up to the current campaign. The "Pirates" played five friendly matches, securing four victories and drawing one. Their attacking prowess was evident, netting nine goals in these encounters.

    ⚪ In the opening round of the French Championship, Brest hosted a formidable Lille. The match was a thrilling affair, ending in a 3-3 draw. Notably, Eric Roy's players showed great resilience, coming from behind twice: first from 0-2 and then from 2-3. Such spirited performances are invaluable at the start of the season.

    Match Results: Stade Brest

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Angers
    Angers
    1.65
    0.48
    6
    3
    9
    8
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.65
    0.48
    6
    3
    9
    8
    1
    1
    D
    13.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    3.07
    1.34
    5
    4
    10
    11
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    3.07
    1.34
    5
    4
    10
    11
    0
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.84
    0.27
    13
    2
    5
    12
    0
    0
    L
    03.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris
    Paris
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1.59
    0.75
    7
    3
    10
    8
    2
    1
    L
    24.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    Lens
    Lens
    0.36
    3.95
    0
    6
    7
    11
    2
    3
    3
    3
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0.36
    3.95
    0
    6
    7
    11
    2
    3
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Toulouse

    ❔ In the upcoming match against Brest, the participation of young forward Ilyas Azizi remains uncertain as he is still recovering from a leg injury and working to regain full fitness. His last appearance was for France's U-17 national team in an international fixture in early June this year.

    ❌ Midfielders Niklas Schmidt and Abu Francis will not feature in the second round of Ligue 1. The Ghanaian is recovering from an injury sustained in a friendly match in mid-July, while the German midfielder suffered a knee injury last season.

    Stade Brest

    📄 Ahead of their match against Toulouse, Brest have completed the transfer of midfielder Joris Chotard from Montpellier. Eric Roy's side spent €2.4 million on the 23-year-old player. The central midfielder has signed a one-year contract, with an option for extension by mutual agreement. In the upcoming second-round match, Chotard is unlikely to feature on the pitch as he has yet to fully recover from the off-season workload at his previous club.

    ❌ Brest have no injury concerns ahead of their clash with Toulouse. The team approaches this game with a full-strength squad.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    Benoit Millot has been appointed as the main referee for the upcoming match. In his last 100 matches, he has shown an average of 4.07 yellow cards, which is quite a high figure. In the first round, Toulouse picked up three yellow cards, while Brest received two. Considering the referee's statistics and the teams' tendency to earn cautions, we suggest betting on total yellow cards over 4.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    In their last five matches, Brest have averaged 2 goals. In the previous round of the French championship, Eric Roy's team netted 3 goals against Lille. Taking all this into account, we recommend betting on Brest's individual total over 1.5 goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In the first round, both opponents combined for only 6 corners. Over their last 10 matches, both Toulouse and Brest have averaged 5 corners per game. With an upcoming match expected to feature a lot of physical battles in midfield, we suggest considering a bet on total corners under 10.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Toulouse didn't have the smoothest preseason, but they entered the championship in decent shape, managing a win in their opening match with a single goal scored. Brest's attacking line is firing on all cylinders, consistently finding the back of the net, including in Ligue 1 action. We predict an away victory with a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Brest. Considering the head-to-head stats and past results, we suggest betting on total goals over 2.5.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of +100*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 August 2025, 05:41)

    Betting Tips: Toulouse - Stade Brest

    Toulouse have drawn in the 2nd half
    toulouse-fcin 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +145
    Toulouse have not won
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 9 games against Stade Brest.
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 8 games against Stade Brest (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 5 home games against Stade Brest.
    toulouse-fcin 8 of last 9 home games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Brest will not lose
    Everygame
    -164
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 9 Toulouse games against Stade Brest.
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 8 Toulouse games against Stade Brest (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 5 Toulouse home games against Stade Brest.
    toulouse-fcin 12 of last 13 Toulouse home games.
    toulouse-fcin 10 of last 11 Toulouse home games (Ligue 1).
    stade-brestin 8 of last 9 Stade Brest games (Ligue 1).
    in 33 of last 34 Bastein Dechepy games.
    in 21 of last 22 Bastein Dechepy games (in the Ligue 1).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Toulouse have conceded
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 9 games against Stade Brest.
    toulouse-fcstade-brestin last 8 games against Stade Brest (Ligue 1).
    toulouse-fcin last 12 home games.
    toulouse-fcin last 10 home games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Brest have scored
    stade-brestin 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
    Stade Brest will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Toulouse - Brest Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Lorient
    Lorient
    3411121148-5145
    10.
    Toulouse
    Toulouse
    331281347-4644
    11.
    Paris
    Paris
    3411111247-5044
    12.
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    341091543-5539
    13.
    Angers
    Angers
    34991629-4836

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    -10
    11 - Scored
    21 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    11
    22
    Conceded
    21
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats