St Mirren vs Motherwell Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 August 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Both sides come into this match in the upper reaches of the table, having made positive starts to the season. St Mirren hold top spot and have been scoring freely across their last ten matches, while Motherwell are close behind and remain among the title contenders. With both teams in confident early-season form, a key contrast is St Mirren's style at home against Motherwell's cautious approach away from home - a factor that could have a significant bearing on how the match plays out.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between St Mirren and Motherwell, the two sides have met 53 times. The hosts have won 14, the visitors 21, with 18 draws. Motherwell also have the edge in goals scored: 52 against 75. On average, 1.09 goals are scored in the first half and 1.3 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.4 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics St Mirren - Motherwell

    26%
    14 Wins
    35%
    19 Draws
    39%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Avg. total goals
    2.46
    Both teams scored
    48%
    1.02
    Average total
    1.44
    2.06
    Yellow cards
    1.37
    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    2.06
    1.94
    7
    7
    14
    12
    2
    2
    3
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    2.06
    1.94
    7
    7
    14
    12
    2
    2
    21.02.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    1
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    1.07
    2.23
    4
    7
    17
    6
    4
    0
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    1.07
    2.23
    4
    7
    17
    6
    4
    0
    03.01.26
    Premiership
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    1.46
    0.35
    9
    8
    10
    13
    0
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.46
    0.35
    9
    8
    10
    13
    0
    4
    01.11.25
    League Cup
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    -
    -
    8
    2
    16
    15
    1
    2
    1
    4
    0
    2
    1
    2
    -
    -
    8
    2
    16
    15
    1
    2
    09.08.25
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    1.27
    0.46
    7
    4
    16
    4
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.27
    0.46
    7
    4
    16
    4
    5
    1
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    St. Mirren Team Overview

    St Mirren have been in solid form, winning four of their last five matches with just one defeat in that run. Over their last ten matches they have six wins and two defeats, averaging 1.9 goals per game with a reasonably reliable defence - conceding 1.1 goals per game on average. At home, the team converts its advantage more often than most, helped by a balanced attack and midfield support.

    Their aim is to stay at the top of the table, though with the season still in its early stages there is no need for risky decisions, and the team are capable of controlling the game without taking unnecessary chances.

    Match Results: St. Mirren

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Dundee
    Dundee
    0.99
    1.29
    2
    5
    15
    11
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.99
    1.29
    2
    5
    15
    11
    4
    3
    W
    17.10.26
    Premiership
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    2.35
    1.39
    2
    6
    18
    16
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.35
    1.39
    2
    6
    18
    16
    1
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    Premiership
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    3.15
    0.71
    6
    2
    16
    18
    2
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3.15
    0.71
    6
    2
    16
    18
    2
    3
    L
    19.09.26
    Premiership
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    Dundee United
    Dundee United
    1.22
    1.56
    4
    7
    12
    13
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    1.22
    1.56
    4
    7
    12
    13
    2
    2
    L
    09.09.26
    Premiership
    Rangers
    Rangers
    St. Mirren
    St. Mirren
    2.13
    1.01
    12
    0
    13
    13
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.13
    1.01
    12
    0
    13
    13
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Motherwell Team Overview

    Motherwell sit fourth after two rounds and are holding their position in the upper part of the table in line with their objectives. Over their last five matches, the visitors have won once, drawn once and lost three times, which points to an inconsistent run of short-term form. Across a ten-match stretch they have managed five wins and three defeats, with modest averages of 1.3 goals scored and exactly one conceded per game.

    Away from home, Motherwell tend to be cautious, and their low scoring is reflected in the current trends from their head-to-head meetings with St Mirren played away from home.

    Match Results: Motherwell

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Premiership
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Heart of Midlothian
    Heart of Midlothian
    1.55
    0.88
    6
    5
    15
    10
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.55
    0.88
    6
    5
    15
    10
    3
    5
    L
    17.10.26
    Premiership
    Kilmarnock
    Kilmarnock
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    1.87
    3.34
    5
    3
    9
    8
    1
    0
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.87
    3.34
    5
    3
    9
    8
    1
    0
    L
    11.10.26
    Premiership
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Celtic
    Celtic
    1.69
    3.56
    2
    9
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.69
    3.56
    2
    9
    3
    4
    1
    2
    L
    19.09.26
    Premiership
    Dundee
    Dundee
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    1.46
    0.99
    9
    9
    8
    9
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.46
    0.99
    9
    9
    8
    9
    1
    1
    L
    15.09.26
    Premiership
    Motherwell
    Motherwell
    Aberdeen
    Aberdeen
    0.62
    1.09
    5
    2
    7
    12
    2
    3
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.62
    1.09
    5
    2
    7
    12
    2
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Match Result Prediction

    St Mirren have failed to win at home in 12 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with Motherwell, which points to a notable advantage for the visitors in this fixture. St Mirren's current home form has also not been particularly high-scoring, while Motherwell have a positive record away from home. Double Chance - X2 (Motherwell) at 1.51* looks like the most logical choice given this statistical picture.

    Total Goals Prediction

    In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches played at St Mirren's ground, the total goals have been under 2.5. On top of that, in 14 of St Mirren's last 15 home Premiership matches there have also been fewer than three goals, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend in their home games. Stats from St Mirren's last 10 home matches show they average 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, which doesn't suggest a high-scoring outcome. These factors make Total Goals - Under 2.5 the most well-supported bet here.

    Corners Prediction

    Motherwell have taken fewer than 3.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches, pointing to a consistent trend of low corner counts. Without additional statistical backing, the run is still long enough to make Motherwell Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 an interesting option at a high line.

    Reliable Bet

    In 14 of their last 15 home Premier League matches, St Mirren have seen fewer than 3.5 goals, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend in their home games. The head-to-head record between these two sides backs this up, with high-scoring matches rarely featuring there either. Taking these factors into account, Total Goals - Under 3.5 looks like the most reliable bet.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 0-1 (13.39%), 1-0 (13.25%) and 0-0 (12.6%). The probabilities of these scorelines are almost identical, which reflects an expectation of a tight, low-scoring match. There is no clear favourite among the options, which is consistent with the general tendency towards low scoring.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The early stage of the season creates moderate motivation for both sides: the hosts are looking to establish themselves among the leaders, while the visitors are keen not to lose their place at the top already. However, the historical trends of this fixture point to a notably closed style of play between these two sides: Under 2.5 goals was only hit once in the previous eleven home meetings between them, which aligns with Motherwell's current away tendencies and St Mirren's pragmatic home approach. The main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0-1.
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 28/08/2026, 17:48
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    98
    2
    85
    185 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: St. Mirren - Motherwell

    Motherwell have drawn in the 1st half:
    motherwell-fcin last 6 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +120
    St. Mirren have not won:
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin 12 of last 14 home games against Motherwell.
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin 11 of last 12 home games against Motherwell (Premiership).
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin last 8 games against Motherwell (Premiership).
    Motherwell will not lose
    -217
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    st-mirren-fcin 14 of last 15 St. Mirren home games (Premiership).
    st-mirren-fcin last 13 St. Mirren games (Premiership).
    st-mirren-fcin 9 of last 10 St. Mirren home games.
    motherwell-fcin 6 of last 7 Motherwell away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -278
    St. Mirren have scored under 1.5 goals:
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin last 14 home games against Motherwell.
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin 12 of last 14 games against Motherwell.
    st-mirren-fcmotherwell-fcin 11 of last 12 games against Motherwell (Premiership).
    st-mirren-fcin 11 of last 12 home games (Premiership).
    st-mirren-fcin 6 of last 7 home games.
    St. Mirren Total goals Under (1,5)
    -169
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Losses
    Win - 1
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 23
    -13
    -13
    11 - Scored
    24 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draw
    1
    6
    Losses
    8
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    11
    23
    Conceded
    24
    3.3
    Average total per match
    3.5
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    2.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.4
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats