Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 Dundee come into this match holding a position in the upper part of the table and looking to stay there. Kilmarnock are well behind that level for now, sitting in the lower reaches with a points deficit to the leaders. Both sides have shown inconsistent results over the course of the season, though a difference in average scoring and defensive quality is noticeable. The match carries added edge given that both teams are motivated by their league positions and keen to improve them at this mid-season stage.
The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced.
Kilmarnock beat Dundee 3-1 in their Scottish Premiership meeting. After a goalless first half, all four goals came in the second; the hosts had 19 shots to Dundee's seven.
📊 Across 44 official meetings, the two sides are perfectly level on wins - 13 apiece - with 18 draws. Dundee have scored 60 goals, Kilmarnock 59, and both teams have scored in 31 of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Dundee - Kilmarnock
Dundee are in average form
Dundee lost 1-2 away to St Mirren in their last Premier League match, despite having more shots - 17 to nine - and 55% possession.
Dundee's current season has been a mixed one: four wins and four defeats from their last ten matches. Their scoring record over that run is evenly balanced, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with no clear lean towards attack or defence. In their last five matches they have won two, lost two and drawn one, which confirms the absence of any extended winning run. Their position among the European contenders means they need to remain fairly active going forward.
Match Results: Dundee
Kilmarnock: the team are struggling for form
None of Kilmarnock's ten shots were on target in their last away Premier League match. Falkirk had eight shots on target and won 3-0, despite the expected goals figures being close - 1.93 to 1.77.
Kilmarnock are struggling at both ends of the pitch: just three wins and five defeats in their last ten matches, averaging one goal scored against 1.7 conceded per game over that run. Their last five matches have been mixed - two wins, one draw and two defeats, with no clear positive trend. They sit five points off the leading positions, which gives them reason to keep pushing, but consistent improvement away from home is what they need to close that gap.
Match Results: Kilmarnock
Goals / Total Prediction
In 10 of Dundee's last 11 matches, the total goals have not exceeded 3.5, pointing to a consistently low-scoring pattern in games involving this side. Dundee are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this season, while Kilmarnock average just 1 goal per game. This suggests the likelihood of a four-goal-or-more match is low. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.48*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 17 of the last 18 head-to-head meetings between Dundee and Kilmarnock, both teams have scored, which is a very pronounced trend for this fixture. On top of that, Dundee concede regularly at home, and while Kilmarnock are not particularly prolific, they do consistently manage at least one goal. We're backing Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.5*.
Reliable Bet
Dundee have gone unbeaten at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings with Kilmarnock, which points to a consistent trend. Kilmarnock have also lost 3 of their 6 away matches this season and concede an average of 2 goals on the road, which reduces their chances of winning. Double Chance - Dundee at 1.28* looks like the reliable bet here.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (11.73%), 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The highest probability belongs to the 1-1 draw, though the gap between the three options is small. This points to an expectation of a relatively even and not particularly high-scoring match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
There is a consistent trend pointing towards low scoring from Kilmarnock: the team scores under 1.5 goals in almost all of their recent league matches, which limits their attacking output even against a less-than-reliable defence. Dundee, meanwhile, have no extended run of confident performances going forward and tend to lose their balance between the lines. Taking both of these factors together with the fact that a bet on the visitors' team total under 1.5 is supported both by the team's form (modest scoring output) and by the fresh seasonal trend, the main prediction is that Kilmarnock will not exceed 1.5 goals. The bet is Kilmarnock Team Total - Under 1.5. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Dundee - Kilmarnock
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