St Johnstone vs Motherwell Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 This meeting between St Johnstone and Motherwell comes against a backdrop of difficult form for both sides. The hosts sit eighth, but are just one point off the leaders, which keeps things interesting in the middle of the season. The visitors are tenth, with a more noticeable gap to the positions they are targeting. Both teams remain motivated to close the distance to the top of the table, but their scoring records and current runs suggest neither side is finding it easy to pick up points.
The teams appear to be evenly matched.
Motherwell beat St Johnstone away 1-0 in the Scottish League Cup. After a goalless first half, the winner came in the second; Motherwell had seven shots on target to two and won 13 corners to two.
📊 Across 53 official meetings, St Johnstone have won 23 and Motherwell 20, with 10 draws. Despite St Johnstone's slight edge in wins, the two sides are almost level on goals: 72-74.
Head-to-head statistics St Johnstone - Motherwell
St Johnstone: the team are in average form
In their last Premiership match, St Johnstone lost 0-4 away to Rangers. The visitors managed just two shots on target compared to nine for the hosts, with expected goals of 0.85 against 4.17. St Johnstone also had a man sent off.
St Johnstone's form has been inconsistent: three wins, three draws and four defeats in their last ten matches. In their last five, they have won twice, lost twice and drawn once - there is no clear upward trend. They are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game, with 1.5 conceded. Over their last nine matches, their attacking output has been limited, with only one instance of scoring more than one goal in a game. Sitting just off the leading group keeps motivation at a moderate level, but without a more reliable attack it is hard to see them making a significant move up the table.
Match Results: St. Johnstone
Motherwell: Team in Crisis
Motherwell's 0-2 home defeat to Hearts in their last Premiership match sits at odds with the underlying numbers: the hosts had more shots - 17 to 14 - the same number of shots on target - five each - and came out ahead on expected goals - 1.55 to 0.88.
Motherwell are going through a clear slump: just one win and eight defeats in their last ten matches tells its own story. Over that same period, they are scoring at the same rate as their hosts - averaging 1.1 goals per game - but their defence has been far more vulnerable, conceding 2.4 per match. Five consecutive defeats have added to the psychological pressure within the squad and made it harder for them to climb away from the bottom of the table.
Match Results: Motherwell
Goals / Total Prediction
In 15 of their last 16 matches, St Johnstone have seen total goals fall under 3.5, pointing to a consistent low-scoring trend in their games. St Johnstone's average of 1.1 goals per match this season is matched by Motherwell's identical figure, which further supports the low-scoring outlook for both sides. No significant conflicting data suggesting a goal surge has been identified. The bet is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.32*.
Corners Prediction
St Johnstone have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in nine consecutive Premiership matches, pointing to a consistent trend in this area. The run is long enough to confirm the pattern, and there are no statistical arguments on the other side in favour of the higher line. We're backing St Johnstone Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.75*.
Reliable Bet
St Johnstone have conceded in 10 of their last 11 matches, pointing to a consistent pattern of letting in goals. On top of that, Motherwell are averaging 1.6 goals per away match this season, which further supports the case for the visitors to score. We're backing Motherwell Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.23*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (11.7%), 1-2 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The most probable result is a 1-1 draw, though a narrow win for either side carries comparable chances. All three outcomes reflect an expectation of a relatively even and not particularly high-scoring match.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This match brings together two sides with similar problems in attack: neither St Johnstone nor Motherwell are showing much cutting edge in front of goal, even with the moderate mid-season stakes that come with their current league positions. Low scoring is a particular feature of the hosts - and a consistent trend in recent Premiership rounds backs this up: St Johnstone have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in eight of their previous nine league matches in a row, which is impossible to ignore when predicting how this game will play out given the attacking quality on show. The editorial recommendation is St Johnstone Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: St. Johnstone - Motherwell
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