Corinthians vs Atletico PR Prediction 30 July 2026
🔊 Matchday 21 of the Brazilian Série A brings together Corinthians and Atletico Paranaense - two sides in very different parts of the table. The hosts are sitting mid-table and haven't lost in four straight league rounds, while the visitors are in the top three and arrive on the back of four consecutive wins in the championship. The contrast in playing styles adds another layer to this one - it could shape the match in a noticeable way.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 19 February 2026 and ended 0-1. Here's the comparative stats from that game (home side - Atletico Paranaense):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 8 vs 0;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Corinthians and Atletico Paranaense:
- 41 matches played;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 7, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 58 vs 38;
- average first-half total - 1.1, second-half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.34.
Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Atletico PR
Corinthians Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the Série A (Bahia at home, Corinthians away). The match ended 1-1.
Match stats (Corinthians vs Bahia):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 18 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Corinthians drew 1-1 away at Bahia last time out, ending a three-match winning run in the league. At home it's a different story - seven wins from their last eight at the Neo Química Arena across all competitions. They sit ninth on 28 points, and a win would push Fernando Diniz's side closer to the top six. The head-to-head record adds to the confidence: Corinthians have won their last five home matches against Atletico Paranaense.
Match Results: Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Série A (Atletico Paranaense at home, Internacionale away). The match ended 2-0.
Match stats (Atletico Paranaense vs Internacionale):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 13 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Atletico Paranaense beat Internacional 2-0 at home last round and sit third, six points behind leaders Palmeiras. Odair Hellmann has his side in fine form since their return to the top flight - after drawing 1-1 with reigning champions Flamengo in round 16, they've won four in a row. That said, Corinthians have historically been a different problem entirely. Atletico have lost their last five away matches in São Paulo, and in 10 of the previous 11 head-to-head meetings they've failed to score more than once against Corinthians.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 41;
- first-half wins for the home side - 6; for the away side - 1; draws - 13;
- average first-half total: 1.1;
- today's hosts average 0.61 goals in the first half, the away side - 0.49.
First-half stats: Corinthians (home) vs Atletico Paranaense (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 2 (20%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- losses: 2 (20%) vs 7 (77.78%);
- draws: 6 (60%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- average goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.44;
- average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.11.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 6;
- average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Corinthians have drawn the first half at home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with this opponent (Série A).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home team - 1.41, away team - 0.93;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.34;
- both teams scored: all time - 21 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Average total stats: Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense
- in the tournament: 2.1 vs 2.35;
- goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.4;
- 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.6;
- 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.8;
- Corinthians: at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Atletico Paranaense: away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Total goals under 2.5 has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches between these sides.
- Total goals under 2.5 has landed in 12 of Corinthians' last 14 home matches.
Corner Kick Prediction
Corinthians: Stats
- season: average total in the competition - 4.45; at home - 4.8;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 5.2.
Atletico Paranaense: Stats
- season: average total in the competition - 4.95; away - 4.11;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 4.25.
- Corinthians have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 7 consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides (Série A).
- Corinthians have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 41;
- both teams scored across all meetings - 21 times;
- at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Stats: Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense
- matches played this season: 20 vs 20;
- matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 10 vs 10;
- Corinthians: BTTS at home - 3 (30%);
- Atletico Paranaense: BTTS away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- Corinthians: BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Atletico Paranaense: BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/199, 16.1%);
- Corinthians at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Atletico Paranaense away most often play: 1:0, 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.84% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.97% (odds 6)
0:0 - 11.04% (odds 6.95)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Despite the importance of this match, there's not much here to suggest either side will open up. Corinthians tend to be pragmatic at home, and Atletico Paranaense are unlikely to take unnecessary risks against a difficult opponent. The stats back a cautious game too: under 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 7 meetings between these sides, and in 12 of Corinthians' last 14 home matches. The main prediction is total goals under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-0 to the hosts.
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Betting Tips: Corinthians - Atletico Paranaense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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