Atletico PR vs Corinthians Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 In the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil, Atlético Paranaense, a representative of Brazil's Serie B, will host Corinthians. After a successful cup round against São Paulo, the hosts approach this two-legged tie with a fighting spirit and a desire to reach the semi-finals. Corinthians, on the other hand, have shown inconsistency in the league and often lose focus when playing away. In Curitiba, an intense and thrilling first match is anticipated, where every moment could be decisive in the fate of the quarter-final.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 17 October 2024 and ended with a 5-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative look at the statistics from that encounter (with Corinthians as the home side):

    • possession: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
    • fouls: 9 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Athletico Paranaense and Corinthians:

    • 38 matches played;
    • home wins - 7, away wins - 17, draws - 14;
    • goals scored - 38 versus 54;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.13, in the second half - 1.29;
    • average total goals per match - 2.42.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    17%
    7 Wins
    34%
    14 Draws
    49%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    41
    Total Goals Avg
    2.34
    Both teams scored
    51%
    0.93
    Total average
    1.41
    1.46
    Yellow cards
    1.41
    Last matches
    19.02.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    2.35
    0.13
    8
    0
    9
    7
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2.35
    0.13
    8
    0
    9
    7
    3
    4
    11.09.25
    Copa Brasil
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.24
    1.17
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.24
    1.17
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    3
    28.08.25
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.79
    1.51
    7
    3
    13
    17
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.79
    1.51
    7
    3
    13
    17
    3
    2
    17.10.24
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    3
    8
    9
    8
    4
    3
    5
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    9
    8
    4
    3
    23.06.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    -
    -
    11
    2
    9
    9
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    11
    2
    9
    9
    2
    1
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of Serie B - Round 23, featuring a clash between Regatas at home and Atlético Paranaense as the visitors. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Atlético Paranaense vs Regatas):

    • possession: 35% vs 65%;
    • corners: 1 vs 6;
    • fouls: 17 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    🔴 In the Round of 16 of the Copa do Brasil, Atlético Paranaense faced a setback with a 2-1 away loss to São Paulo. However, they secured a quarterfinal spot by winning 1-0 at home and triumphing 3-0 in the penalty shootout. This victory has boosted the team's confidence ahead of their clash with Corinthians.

    ⚫ In the Série B championship, Atlético have been inconsistent: a defeat against Criciúma (4-2), a draw with Cuiabá (1-1), and a recent win over CRB (1-0). Currently sitting in 12th place in the standings, the team is out of contention for promotion. Despite their ups and downs in Série B, the "Hurricane" approaches the cup derby with a fighting spirit, ready to showcase their resilience.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    1.1
    0.57
    6
    4
    11
    11
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.1
    0.57
    6
    4
    11
    11
    2
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    0.43
    1.44
    3
    10
    9
    14
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.43
    1.44
    3
    10
    9
    14
    1
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    D
    14.05.26
    Copa Brasil
    Goianiense
    Goianiense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    4
    1
    18
    13
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    4
    -
    -
    4
    1
    18
    13
    4
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    2.13
    0.97
    4
    3
    6
    9
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.13
    0.97
    4
    3
    6
    9
    4
    1
    L
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    Corinthians Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in Serie A - Round 21, where Vasco da Gama hosted Corinthians. The match concluded with a 2-3 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama):

    • possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 20 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 3.

    🏆 In the Round of 16 of the Copa do Brasil, Corinthians confidently advanced past Palmeiras: a narrow 1-0 home victory was solidified by a more commanding 2-0 performance away, securing their spot in the quarterfinals.

    ⚫ In Brazil's Serie A, Corinthians are showing inconsistent form. In their last three matches, they fell to Juventude (1-2), suffered another defeat against Bahia with the same scoreline (1-2), and then clinched a victory over Vasco da Gama (3-2). Currently, "Timão" sit 11th in the table as they continue to vie for a spot in international tournament qualification.

    Match Results: Corinthians

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1.58
    1.73
    4
    8
    23
    20
    3
    2
    W
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Platense
    Platense
    0.88
    1.11
    5
    4
    5
    14
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.88
    1.11
    5
    4
    5
    14
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.46
    0.77
    1
    1
    16
    7
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.77
    1
    1
    16
    7
    2
    1
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • First-half wins for home team - 8; for away team - 4; draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 1.13;
    • Today's home team averages 0.53 goals, while the visitors average 0.61.

    First-half Statistics: Atlético Paranaense (home) vs Corinthians (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
    • Wins: 2 (66.67%) vs 2 (100%);
    • Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Draws: 1 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • Wins: 3 vs 2;
    • Losses: 1 vs 5;
    • Draws: 6 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.2) vs 1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Atlético Paranaense have drawn the first half at home in their last 6 matches.
    👉 Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.91)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Home wins - 7, Away wins - 17, Draws - 14.
    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense have failed to win in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head clashes with this opponent.
    👉Prediction: Corinthians will not lose(odds: 1.44)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • The current home team averages - 1 goal, visitors - 1.42 goals;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.42;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at the home ground - 10 times.

    Statistics: Atletico Paranaense vs Corinthians

    • Average tournament total: 1.83 vs 1.25;
    • Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.25;
    • First-half average total: 0.67 vs 0.5;
    • Second-half average total: 0.67 vs 0.75;
    • Atletico Paranaense: average home total in the tournament - 1.67;
    • Corinthians: average away total in the tournament - 1.5;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 0.8) vs 1.1 (away - 1.33).
    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head encounters.
    • Atletico Paranaense have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
    • Atletico Paranaense have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in 11 of their last 12 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corinthians will score goal(odds: 1.35)

    Corners Prediction

    Atletico Paranaense: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 6.67; at home - 9.67;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 7.8.

    Corinthians: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5, away - 4.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 3.83.
    Trends
    • Atletico Paranaense have delivered more than 4.5 corners in six consecutive head-to-head matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Atletico Paranaense Total Over (4.5)(odds: 1.57)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.68 (1.34 for the home team and 1.34 for the visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 2.73 (1.47 for the home team and 1.26 for the visitors).

    Atletico Paranaense: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.17; at home - 2.33;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.6.

    Corinthians: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.75, away - 3.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Both teams scored overall - 21 times;
    • At the home ground - 10 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.67)

    Editor's Prediction

    Hurricane enter the match with fighting spirit following a successful cup round, although their form in Serie B has been inconsistent. Corinthians, despite reaching the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil, have also shown erratic performances in Serie A, alternating between losses and wins, and often losing focus on the road.

    In most of their recent head-to-head clashes at the home ground, both sides have struggled to find the back of the net: less than three goals were scored in 9 out of the last 10 matches. Both clubs approach the game with cautious tactics, aiming to avoid mistakes in the first leg of this two-legged tie. The recent performances of Atletico Paranaense and Corinthians suggest that low-scoring encounters are a trend, and this match is unlikely to be an exception. Our prediction: total under 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -200*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 August 2025, 09:56)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Paranaense - Corinthians

    Atletico Paranaense have drawn in the 1st half
    atletico-paranaensein last 6 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -122
    Atletico Paranaense have not won
    atletico-paranaensecorinthians-sp-2in 11 of last 12 games against Corinthians.
    Corinthians will not lose
    Everygame
    -179
    Corinthians have scored under 1.5 goals
    atletico-paranaensecorinthians-sp-2in 8 of last 9 away games against Atletico Paranaense.
    corinthians-sp-2in 18 of last 20 games.
    corinthians-sp-2in 17 of last 19 away games.
    Corinthians Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -556
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    atletico-paranaensecorinthians-sp-2in 14 of last 15 Atletico Paranaense home games against Corinthians.
    atletico-paranaensein 10 of last 11 Atletico Paranaense home games.
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 5
    +4
    +2
    14 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    14
    5
    Conceded
    12
    1.4
    Match goals average
    2.6
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    0.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    103'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats